Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:37:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

11
0x1165…6ba5
crypto · 246 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$26 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$16 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$16
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)73%
Wins / losses180 / 66
Open positions0
Markets (closed)246 / 246
History coverage12d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day23.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 246 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$48
7 days+$47
14 days−$16
30 days−$16
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$3 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$3 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$3 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$4 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$2 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$2 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$3 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$3 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$4 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$2 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$3 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$6 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$4 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$3 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$16
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $7 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $7 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $7 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $7 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $7 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $7 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $5 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-15.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 140 +3.9% -6.0% 81% 60% -3.3%
≤30d 246 -6.1% -15.1% 73% 52% -10.8%
≤90d 246 -6.1% -15.1% 73% 52% -10.8%
all 246 -6.1% -15.1% 73% 52% -10.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover23.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.1% 52% -10.8%
10% ← realistic here -23.2% 36% -19.3%
15% -30.6% 26% -27.1%
20% -37.4% 12% -34.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 498 history records