Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T08:40:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

11
0x1161…ebbd
crypto · 314 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$992 -16%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$992 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$20
Realized−$992
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses197 / 205
Open positions0
Markets (closed)402 / 314
History coverage15d
Avg bet$20
Trades / day216.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 402 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$193
7 days−$183
14 days−$529
30 days−$992
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Down 33¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+205%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Up 59¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+68%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Up 86¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+16%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Down 78¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+28%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Down 41¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+141%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Down 48¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+110%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Down 40¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+149%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Down 71¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+41%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Down 82¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+22%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Down 45¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+122%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Up 35¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+186%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Up 79¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+26%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Down 41¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+142%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Down 40¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+152%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Down 49¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+105%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Down 60¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+67%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Down 70¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+42%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Down 35¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+182%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Up 41¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+142%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Up 35¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+186%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Up 97¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+3%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Up 41¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+143%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Down 38¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+165%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Down 42¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+137%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Up 38¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+166%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$29 +8879%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$18 -3168%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$29 -3428%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$33 -4490%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $0 +$15 +4116%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $0 +$3 +680%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$8 +2796%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $0 −$86 -20466%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $0 −$26 -5555%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$2 +637%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$3 +1471%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $0 −$21 -4833%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $0 +$7 +3445%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $0 +$6 +3095%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $0 +$5 +2219%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $0 −$6 -2108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $0 −$30 -8748%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$4 +2650%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $0 +$7 +3562%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -198%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $0 −$21 -5159%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$3 +1910%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $0 +$9 +5867%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $0 −$9 -5554%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$6 +4019%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $0 +$58 +58176%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$5 +2969%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $0 −$1 -389%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $0 −$1 -908%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$8 +8330%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $0 +$18 +16619%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $0 −$3 -1710%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $0 −$32 -20338%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $0 +$6 +7567%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $0 −$1 -542%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $0 +$15 +22250%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +175%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $0 −$3 -2858%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$6 +10329%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $0 −$38 -28921%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $0 −$13 -12910%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$37 +94016%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $0 −$1 -1443%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$2 +3591%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $0 +$7 +13587%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $0 −$36 -50126%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $0 −$1 -1140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $0 −$26 -35082%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$885
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $6 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $3 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $2 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $3 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $3 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $1 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $4 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $4 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $3 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $3 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $6 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $6 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $6 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $7 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $4 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $4 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $3 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $5 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $6 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $3 31h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)+172.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 318 +262.3% +227.8% 53% 51% -5.3%
≤30d 402 +200.7% +172.0% 49% 45% -20.5%
≤90d 402 +200.7% +172.0% 49% 45% -20.5%
all 402 +200.7% +172.0% 49% 45% -20.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover216.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +172.0% 45% -20.5%
10% ← realistic here +146.0% 40% -28.1%
15% +122.2% 36% -35.0%
20% +100.4% 32% -41.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $20.14 · official $0.00 · 3500 history records