Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T13:51:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

11
0x115e…5019
sports · 148 markets active 1h ago
2.0score
+$186 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$94 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Net worth$0
Realized+$94
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)72%
Wins / losses107 / 41
Est. fees paid−$103
Open positions0
Markets (closed)148 / 148
History coverage137d
Avg bet$109
Trades / day7.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit84%
Chart Positions 0 History 148 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$182
7 days−$155
14 days+$165
30 days+$93
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
World Championships: Slovakia vs. Czechia Slovakia 48¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Slovakia vs. Montenegro end in a draw? No 85¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox Los Angeles Dodgers 60¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
World Championships: Norway vs. Sweden Sweden 89¢ $42 $0 −$42 (-100%)
Kwibuka T20 Tournament, Women: Rwanda vs Nigeria Nigeria 45¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5 Over 72¢ $72 $0 −$72 (-100%)
Athletics vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5 Over 48¢ $48 $0 −$48 (-100%)
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5 Over 78¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 5.5 Over 54¢ $70 $0 −$70 (-100%)
Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 1.5 Over 85¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5 Over 80¢ $120 $0 −$120 (-100%)
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? Yes 30¢ $79 $0 −$79 (-100%)
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets: O/U 9.5 Over 63¢ $41 $0 −$41 (-100%)
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand New Zealand 76¢ $168 $0 −$168 (-100%)
Auckland FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 1.5 Over 51¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
World Championships: Czechia vs. Norway Czechia 68¢ $137 $0 −$137 (-100%)
Will D.C. United SC win on 2026-05-23? Yes 90¢ $90 $0 −$90 (-100%)
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 5.5 Over 76¢ $70 $0 −$70 (-100%)
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-05-19? Yes 67¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5 Over 70¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Will Petrojet SC win on 2026-05-28? Yes 73¢ $73 $0 −$73 (-100%)
Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings? Yes 60¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles Tampa Bay Rays 58¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Bangladesh vs Netherlands Jun 14 $448 +$49 +11%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand Jun 13 $168 −$168 -100%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs South Africa Jun 13 $26 +$2 +8%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Scotland vs Ireland Jun 13 $32 +$1 +4%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 5.5 Jun 13 $174 +$31 +18%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5 Jun 13 $121 −$120 -99%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $22 −$5 -22%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 5.5 Jun 13 $106 +$29 +28%
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $17 +$1 +7%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 5.5 Jun 13 $28 +$7 +25%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 12 $12 −$12 -99%
Kwibuka T20 Tournament, Women: Brazil vs Malawi Jun 12 $28 +$2 +8%
Kwibuka T20 Tournament, Women: Rwanda vs Nigeria Jun 12 $9 −$9 -98%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets: O/U 9.5 Jun 11 $41 −$41 -100%
Kwibuka T20 Tournament, Women: Nigeria vs Zimbabwe High Performance Xi Jun 11 $1 +$1 +88%
Kwibuka T20 Tournament, Women: Nigeria vs Brazil Jun 11 $12 +$8 +66%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $8 $0 -0%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 6.5 Jun 11 $62 +$14 +23%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 5.5 Jun 11 $94 +$41 +43%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5 Jun 11 $7 −$7 -100%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 5.5 Jun 10 $90 +$31 +34%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 10 $10 +$4 +37%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 6.5 Jun 10 $14 +$1 +8%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5 Jun 10 $92 +$23 +24%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 5.5 Jun 10 $8 +$2 +24%
T20 Blast: Essex vs Kent Jun 09 $9 +$1 +12%
T20 Blast: Northamptonshire vs Worcestershire Jun 09 $93 +$43 +47%
Will Malawi win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $8 +$2 +25%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5 Jun 09 $73 +$6 +8%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 5.5 Jun 09 $140 −$87 -62%
France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 1.5 Jun 08 $18 +$2 +12%
T20 Asian Games, Qualifier: Nepal vs Hong Kong, China Jun 08 $208 +$42 +20%
Jordan vs. Colombia: O/U 0.5 Jun 08 $42 +$3 +7%
Kosovo vs. Andorra: O/U 0.5 Jun 07 $10 $0 +4%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5 Jun 07 $96 −$54 -56%
Liechtenstein vs. Cyprus: O/U 0.5 Jun 07 $10 $0 +5%
Will India win? Jun 07 $19 $0 +0%
T20 Asian Games, Qualifier: Hong Kong, China vs Malaysia Jun 07 $345 −$102 -30%
ICC Cricket World Cup League Two: Canada vs USA Jun 06 $228 +$75 +33%
Will Ethiopia vs. Malawi end in a draw? Jun 06 $57 +$1 +1%
Will Ethiopia win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $10 +$1 +7%
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Bahrain vs Mongolia Jun 06 $88 +$12 +13%
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Japan vs Myanmar Jun 06 $193 +$7 +4%
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Malaysia vs Indonesia Jun 06 $182 +$18 +10%
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: China vs Philippines Jun 06 $138 +$37 +27%
Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 13.5 Jun 06 $84 +$24 +28%
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5 Jun 06 $274 +$29 +11%
Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 10.5 Jun 06 $450 +$79 +18%
Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 6.5 Jun 06 $200 +$12 +6%
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 14.5 Jun 05 $145 +$15 +11%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 85% +$526
other 15% −$451
world 0% +$19
crypto 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Bangladesh vs Netherlands SELL Bangladesh 99¢ $453 1h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Bangladesh vs Netherlands BUY Bangladesh 89¢ $9 1h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Bangladesh vs Netherlands BUY Bangladesh 82¢ $8 1h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Bangladesh vs Netherlands BUY Bangladesh 81¢ $8 1h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Bangladesh vs Netherlands BUY Bangladesh 75¢ $8 1h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Bangladesh vs Netherlands BUY Bangladesh 88¢ $86 1h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Bangladesh vs Netherlands BUY Bangladesh 80¢ $8 1h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Bangladesh vs Netherlands BUY Bangladesh 91¢ $5 1h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Bangladesh vs Netherlands BUY Bangladesh 91¢ $5 1h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Bangladesh vs Netherlands BUY Bangladesh 84¢ $9 1h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Bangladesh vs Netherlands BUY Bangladesh 84¢ $33 1h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Bangladesh vs Netherlands BUY Bangladesh 88¢ $22 1h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Bangladesh vs Netherlands BUY Bangladesh 90¢ $90 1h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Bangladesh vs Netherlands BUY Bangladesh 90¢ $9 1h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Bangladesh vs Netherlands BUY Bangladesh 93¢ $9 1h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Bangladesh vs Netherlands BUY Bangladesh 93¢ $19 1h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Bangladesh vs Netherlands BUY Bangladesh 93¢ $23 1h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Bangladesh vs Netherlands BUY Bangladesh 93¢ $9 1h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Bangladesh vs Netherlands BUY Bangladesh 89¢ $9 2h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Bangladesh vs Netherlands BUY Bangladesh 85¢ $8 2h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Bangladesh vs Netherlands BUY Bangladesh 86¢ $9 2h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Bangladesh vs Netherlands BUY Bangladesh 86¢ $9 2h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Bangladesh vs Netherlands BUY Bangladesh 86¢ $9 2h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Bangladesh vs Netherlands SELL Bangladesh 67¢ $43 4h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Bangladesh vs Netherlands BUY Bangladesh 68¢ $45 4h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand BUY New Zealand 74¢ $7 19h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand BUY New Zealand 80¢ $8 19h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand BUY New Zealand 81¢ $4 19h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand BUY New Zealand 81¢ $8 19h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand BUY New Zealand 83¢ $4 19h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-13.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 36 -5.0% -14.1% 72% 47% -15.0%
≤30d 147 -4.4% -13.5% 72% 47% -8.9%
≤90d 147 -4.4% -13.5% 72% 47% -8.9%
all 148 -4.4% -13.5% 72% 47% -8.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.3 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.5% 47% -8.9%
10% -21.7% 26% -17.6%
15% -29.3% 13% -25.6%
20% -36.2% 5% -32.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1042 history records