trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tottenham Hotspur place 17th for the 2025-26 English Premier Leag | May 25 | $391 | +$89 | +23% |
| Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the | May 22 | $65 | −$65 | -100% |
| Leeds United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5 | Apr 21 | $10 | $0 | +3% |
| Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Delhi Capitals - | Apr 21 | $18 | $0 | +0% |
| Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Delhi Capitals - | Apr 21 | $42 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | Apr 03 | $4 | +$1 | +16% |
| Will Solana reach $200 in February? | Mar 01 | $31 | −$24 | -78% |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,400 in February? | Mar 01 | $109 | +$179 | +164% |
| Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in February? | Mar 01 | $678 | +$822 | +121% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February? | Mar 01 | $531 | +$776 | +146% |
| Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Feb 25 | $115 | +$306 | +267% |
| Will XRP reach $4.00 in February? | Feb 25 | $0 | $0 | -0% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 2 | -38.6% | -44.5% | 50% | 50% | -4.8% |
| ≤90d | 6 | -9.5% | -18.2% | 83% | 33% | -5.3% |
| all | 12 | +47.0% | +33.0% | 75% | 50% | +85.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | +33.0% | 50% | +85.0% |
| 10% ← realistic here | +20.2% | 42% | +67.3% |
| 15% | +8.6% | 33% | +51.1% |
| 20% | -2.0% | 33% | +36.3% |