Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T20:59:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

11
0x1144…99f1
other · 8 markets active 1h ago
0.5score
+$0 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$5 · open +$5
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$115
Realized−$5
Unrealized+$5
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses2 / 2
Open positions4
Markets (closed)4 / 8
History coverage2d
Avg bet$27
Trades / day4.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit12%
Chart Positions 4 History 4 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5
7 days−$5
14 days−$5
30 days−$5
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 85¢ 96¢ $45 $50 +$5 (+12%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 58¢ 58¢ $30 $30 +$0 (+1%)
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? No 99¢ 99¢ $25 $25 +$0 (+0%)
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by August 31? No 8¢ 7¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-9%)
Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31? No 0¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 53¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $30 +$35 +114%
Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31? Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $25 +$10 +42%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 11 $20 −$20 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 88% $0
world 12% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by August 31? BUY No 8¢ $10 1h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 95¢ $15 1h
Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31? BUY No 0¢ $30 17h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 58¢ $30 18h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $30 23h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 53¢ $20 47h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 81¢ $30 47h
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? BUY No 99¢ $25 2d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 70¢ $25 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-19.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 -11.1% -19.6% 50% 50% -13.6%
≤30d 4 -11.1% -19.6% 50% 50% -13.6%
≤90d 4 -11.1% -19.6% 50% 50% -13.6%
all 4 -11.1% -19.6% 50% 50% -13.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.3 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -19.6% 50% -13.6%
10% -27.3% 50% -21.9%
15% -34.3% 50% -29.4%
20% -40.7% 25% -36.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $114.88 · official $114.88 (match) · 11 history records