Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:33:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

11
0x1141…c2a6
sports · 306 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$92 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$97 · open +$5
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$22
Realized−$97
Unrealized+$5
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses170 / 131
Est. fees paid−$8
Open positions5
Markets (closed)301 / 306
Avg bet$3
Trades / day3.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 5 History 301 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$8
7 days+$6
14 days+$24
30 days−$11
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner MOUZ 35¢ 100¢ $6 $17 +$11 (+186%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 34¢ 14¢ $7 $3 −$4 (-60%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ 52¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-3%)
Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 10¢ 5¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-46%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner MOUZ 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Sta Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 12 $2 +$2 +83%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $4 +$2 +50%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $3 +$1 +42%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $3 +$4 +168%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Heroic (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 07 $3 +$3 +101%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 07 $5 +$4 +79%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 04 $10 +$3 +31%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 04 $10 +$4 +36%
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs NRG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 03 $2 +$2 +119%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 03 $4 +$2 +55%
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Sharks (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 03 $1 +$2 +152%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 03 $2 +$1 +48%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs NRG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 02 $1 $0 +42%
Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs May 31 $1 +$1 +101%
Counter-Strike: NIP vs FaZe - Map 2 Winner May 30 $2 $0 +17%
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs May 30 $10 +$3 +29%
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - Conquest of Prague Fina May 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: paiN vs GamerLegion - Map 1 Winner May 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: NRG vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A May 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Group St May 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs TYLOO (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group A May 27 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B May 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs May 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs May 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner May 27 $3 −$3 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Pla May 27 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group S May 27 $5 −$5 -100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 May 27 $6 −$6 -100%
Counter-Strike: NRG vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner May 27 $42 −$42 -100%
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Alliance - Map 2 Winner May 27 $2 +$1 +32%
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Alliance (BO3) - Conquest of Prague Fina May 27 $10 +$7 +72%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner May 22 $3 +$1 +18%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A May 22 $9 +$4 +42%
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs TYLOO (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A May 21 $2 +$1 +46%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs M80 (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Grou May 21 $3 $0 +13%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B May 21 $3 +$4 +152%
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? May 20 $6 +$3 +53%
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch S May 20 $5 +$2 +31%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs magic - Map 2 Winner May 19 $6 +$1 +8%
Counter-Strike: paiN vs GamerLegion - Map 2 Winner May 17 $1 +$1 +83%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs May 17 $1 +$3 +307%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs May 15 $2 $0 +21%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner May 15 $3 +$2 +70%
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B May 15 $5 +$1 +18%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner May 13 $3 +$2 +48%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 95% −$85
other 2% −$7
crypto 2% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 16¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY MOUZ 35¢ $6 1h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner BUY MOUZ 50¢ $2 2h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 42¢ $6 2h
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY Monte 54¢ $2 3d
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY FUT Esports 72¢ $2 4d
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY FUT Esports 58¢ $1 4d
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY FUT Esports 65¢ $1 4d
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY BIG 70¢ $3 4d
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY Monte 36¢ $1 4d
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY Astralis 63¢ $1 4d
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY Monte 37¢ $1 4d
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Heroic (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 BUY Liquid 49¢ $3 7d
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 BUY GamerLegion 55¢ $5 7d
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $2 7d
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 BUY Sharks 46¢ $2 7d
Counter-Strike: M80 vs B8 - Map 1 Winner BUY B8 76¢ $10 8d
Counter-Strike: M80 vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 BUY B8 73¢ $10 8d
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY GamerLegion 45¢ $4 8d
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 BUY Liquid 34¢ $1 8d
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Sta BUY THUNDER dOWNUNDER 25¢ $1 8d
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY GamerLegion 67¢ $2 9d
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs NRG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 BUY NRG 45¢ $2 9d
Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 10¢ $1 9d
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 BUY Liquid 65¢ $1 9d
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 BUY Liquid 65¢ $1 9d
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 BUY Liquid 63¢ $2 9d
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Sharks (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 BUY Sharks 39¢ $1 11d
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs NRG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 BUY GamerLegion 70¢ $1 11d
Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs BUY NIP 49¢ $1 12d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +55%
net ROI/market (all)-13.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 11 +2.1% -7.6% 55% 55% +9.7%
≤30d 50 +7.3% -2.9% 64% 62% -14.6%
≤90d 271 -10.4% -18.9% 52% 51% -23.1%
all 301 -4.2% -13.3% 56% 55% -18.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.9 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.3% 55% -18.2%
10% -21.6% 51% -26.1%
15% -29.2% 43% -33.2%
20% -36.1% 30% -39.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $21.91 · official $21.91 (match) · 740 history records