Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T12:21:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
11 0x113e…5141 crypto 1570 markets active 1h ago coverage 19d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 18d only
✗ bot/MM pace (103 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$280 (+3%) realized +$280 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR38%break-even
Win rate76%1199W / 371L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$7per market
Trades / day103.5pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$7
7 days−$9
14 days−$71
30 days−$125
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$125
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (103 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-10.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 354 -1.0% -10.5% 84% 22% -10.7%
≤30d 1570 -1.1% -10.6% 76% 38% -10.6%
≤90d 1570 -1.1% -10.6% 76% 38% -10.6%
all 1570 -1.1% -10.6% 76% 38% -10.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover103.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.6% 38% -10.6%
10% ← realistic here -19.1% 17% -19.1%
15% -26.9% 5% -27.0%
20% -34.1% 1% -34.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
45% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late -1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$3 · ×0.28 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.9 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

19d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$280
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)76%
Wins / losses1199 / 371
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1570 / 1570
History coverage19d ⚠
Avg bet$7
Trades / day103.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1570 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$1 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$1 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$1 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$1 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $2 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET SELL Down 48¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET SELL Up 43¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET SELL Up 44¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET SELL Up 46¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $2 10h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records