Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T08:12:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

11
0x1136…aa0d
crypto · 543 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$186 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$186 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$186
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)63%
Wins / losses341 / 202
Open positions0
Markets (closed)543 / 543
History coverage52d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day27.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 543 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$47
7 days+$47
14 days+$31
30 days+$22
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Down 91¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $96 +$28 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $71 +$24 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$16 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $65 +$4 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $50 +$9 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $95 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $13 +$4 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $33 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$7 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $29 +$3 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $33 +$14 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$6 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$5 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 03 $9 −$9 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 03 $5 −$5 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 03 $2 +$2 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 03 $7 +$6 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 03 $5 +$2 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 03 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 03 $9 −$9 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 03 $5 $0 +8%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May? May 30 $235 +$125 +53%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May? May 30 $1 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET May 29 $4 −$1 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET May 29 $4 −$2 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET May 29 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET May 29 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET May 29 $31 −$23 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET May 29 $23 −$14 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET May 29 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET May 29 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET May 29 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET May 24 $41 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET May 24 $21 −$19 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET May 24 $36 +$8 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET May 24 $9 +$3 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET May 24 $21 +$13 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET May 24 $13 +$8 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET May 24 $31 +$8 +26%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 90% −$184
finance 8% +$7
other 2% −$9
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $15 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $20 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $30 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $31 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $10 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $20 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $10 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $10 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $10 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $10 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $10 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $11 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $5 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET SELL Up 33¢ $3 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $2 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $2 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $10 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $20 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $20 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $15 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $5 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $5 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET SELL Down 58¢ $8 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $5 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $20 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $20 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $10 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $10 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $3 53m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-15.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 24 -2.6% -11.9% 75% 50% -3.0%
≤30d 327 -9.3% -17.9% 61% 46% -9.0%
≤90d 543 -6.3% -15.2% 63% 47% -12.4%
all 543 -6.3% -15.2% 63% 47% -12.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover27.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.2% 47% -12.4%
10% ← realistic here -23.3% 32% -20.8%
15% -30.7% 21% -28.4%
20% -37.5% 13% -35.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1906 history records