Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:59:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

11
0x1136…0c2e
sports · 41 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,010,274 -46%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$852,625 · open −$157,648
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Possible transfer/wash account
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$234,827
Realized−$852,625
Unrealized−$157,648
Win rate (resolved)36%
Wins / losses12 / 21
Whale WR (big bets)22%
Est. fees paid−$34,001
Open positions8
Markets (closed)33 / 41
History coverage3d
Avg bet$53,976
Trades / day1151.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 8 History 33 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$844,979
7 days−$852,625
14 days−$852,625
30 days−$852,625
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FUT Esports 53¢ 34¢ $106,235 $68,009 −$38,226 (-36%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Spirit 85¢ 84¢ $68,400 $67,600 −$800 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BetBoom Team 33¢ 30¢ $58,998 $55,097 −$3,901 (-7%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Vitality 91¢ 90¢ $18,200 $18,100 −$100 (-1%)
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) BetBoom Team 61¢ 60¢ $17,941 $17,835 −$107 (-1%)
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) Spirit 61¢ 62¢ $6,250 $6,301 +$51 (+1%)
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) Vitality 68¢ 69¢ $1,747 $1,785 +$38 (+2%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 PARIVISION 57¢ 0¢ $114,704 $100 −$114,604 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 B8 35¢ 0¢ $21,223 $0 −$21,223 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $21,505 −$21,223 -99%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $46,448 +$73,552 +158%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) Jun 12 $96,367 −$96,367 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $112,015 −$112,015 -100%
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) Jun 11 $636 −$636 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $57,866 −$57,866 -100%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $114,098 −$114,098 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $114,875 −$114,875 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $87,020 +$64,375 +74%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $22,502 +$7,498 +33%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $81,222 +$98,592 +121%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $230,745 −$230,745 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5 Jun 11 $125,608 +$35,522 +28%
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 11 $9,508 −$2,847 -30%
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 11 $25,935 −$7,414 -29%
Spurs vs. Knicks: 1H Moneyline Jun 11 $14,359 +$15,641 +109%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 10 $152,250 −$152,250 -100%
Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) Jun 10 $1,955 −$1,955 -100%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage Jun 10 $70,958 −$70,958 -100%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 10 $48,000 −$48,000 -100%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 10 $111,136 −$111,136 -100%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG - Map 1 Winner Jun 10 $3,113 +$2,225 +72%
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5) Jun 10 $9,127 −$9,127 -100%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 10 $12,781 −$12,781 -100%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 10 $28,200 −$28,200 -100%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 10 $37,715 −$37,715 -100%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 10 $87,000 −$87,000 -100%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Jun 10 $13,662 +$13,662 +100%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 10 $28,200 +$31,800 +113%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 10 $4,267 +$4,441 +104%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 09 $19,151 −$316 -2%
Map Handicap: B8 (-1.5) vs BIG (+1.5) Jun 09 $28,281 +$12,113 +43%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $911 +$105,477 +11573%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 98% −$1,083,825
other 2% +$73,552
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) BUY BetBoom Team 61¢ $118 22m
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) BUY BetBoom Team 61¢ $2,440 25m
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) BUY BetBoom Team 61¢ $8 30m
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) BUY BetBoom Team 61¢ $152 30m
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) BUY BetBoom Team 61¢ $2,158 33m
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) BUY BetBoom Team 61¢ $3 34m
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) BUY BetBoom Team 61¢ $626 34m
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) BUY BetBoom Team 61¢ $36 34m
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) BUY BetBoom Team 61¢ $266 36m
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) BUY BetBoom Team 61¢ $5 37m
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) BUY BetBoom Team 61¢ $50 38m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 33¢ $5,741 38m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 33¢ $2 39m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 33¢ $5 39m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 33¢ $102 39m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 33¢ $123 39m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 33¢ $387 39m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 33¢ $10 40m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 33¢ $72 40m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 33¢ $2 40m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 33¢ $2 41m
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) BUY BetBoom Team 61¢ $3 41m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 33¢ $5 41m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 33¢ $84 41m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 33¢ $18 42m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 33¢ $24 42m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 33¢ $27 42m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 33¢ $7 42m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 33¢ $7 43m
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) BUY BetBoom Team 61¢ $120 43m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)+20.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 33 +33.2% +20.5% 36% 36% -56.3%
≤30d 33 +33.2% +20.5% 36% 36% -56.3%
≤90d 33 +33.2% +20.5% 36% 36% -56.3%
all 33 +33.2% +20.5% 36% 36% -56.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1151.4 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +20.5% 36% -56.3%
10% +9.0% 36% -60.5%
15% ← realistic here -1.6% 30% -64.3%
20% -11.2% 27% -67.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $234,826.79 · official $234,827.05 (match) · 3500 history records