Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T18:29:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

11
0x1123…b4b0
sports · 108 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1,065 -68%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,061 · open −$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge
Net worth$28
Realized−$1,061
Unrealized−$4
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses54 / 31
Est. fees paid−$18
Open positions23
Markets (closed)85 / 108
History coverage62d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day2.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 23 History 85 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$6
7 days+$6
14 days+$6
30 days+$6
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card) Ciryl Gane 51¢ 50¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Maria Timofeeva vs Renata Zarazua Renata Zarazua 42¢ 42¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+0%)
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card) Diego Lopes 58¢ 57¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi 27¢ 44¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+61%)
HSBC Championships (Doubles): Fernandez/Siegemund vs Jovic/Kessler Jovic/Kessler 42¢ 66¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+57%)
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card) Josh Hokit 79¢ 78¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Laura Samson Lucia Bronzetti 43¢ 42¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Libema Open: Robin Montgomery vs Barbora Krejcikova Robin Montgomery 31¢ 30¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Lulu Sun vs Anhelina Kalinina Lulu Sun 40¢ 40¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card) Aiemann Zahabi 22¢ 22¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Viktorija Golubic vs Veronika Erjavec Veronika Erjavec 33¢ 30¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-8%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Tessa Brockmann vs Alycia Parks Tessa Brockmann 77¢ 77¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+0%)
UFC Freedom 250: Kyle Daukaus vs. Bo Nickal (Middleweight, Main Card) Kyle Daukaus 27¢ 26¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Zeynep Sonmez vs Lanlana Tararudee Lanlana Tararudee 34¢ 32¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-4%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Diane Parry vs Ella Seidel Ella Seidel 40¢ 38¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-5%)
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Katarzyna Kawa Katarzyna Kawa 55¢ 56¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
UFC Freedom 250: Michael Chandler vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card) Mauricio Ruffy 83¢ 82¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card) Ilia Topuria 81¢ 80¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Petra Marcinko vs Aoi Ito Petra Marcinko 77¢ 74¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-4%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Sinja Kraus Sinja Kraus 45¢ 43¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-4%)
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Taylah Preston Oksana Selekhmeteva 49¢ 36¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-27%)
Ilkley: Jacob Fearnley vs Filippo Romano Jacob Fearnley 90¢ 49¢ $1 $1 −$1 (-46%)
Cattolica: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Francesco Forti Francesco Forti 43¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Nagoya Fighting Eagles vs. Saga Ballooners Nagoya Fighting Eagles 33¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: INTZ e-Sports vs Ei Nerd Esports (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season Ei Nerd Esports 42¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Alicia Dudeney vs Yulia Putintseva Jun 13 $1 +$1 +70%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikata Jun 13 $1 +$3 +250%
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Iva Jovic Jun 13 $1 −$1 -99%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Daniel Evans vs Marcos Giron Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Utsunomiya Brex vs. Diamond Dolphins Jun 13 $1 +$2 +180%
Chiba Jets vs. Gunma Crane Thunders Jun 13 $2 +$3 +152%
AEK vs. BC Rytas May 08 $1 −$1 -99%
KCC Egis vs. Goyang May 08 $1 −$1 -98%
SeaHorses Mikawa vs. Ryukyu Golden Kings May 08 $1 −$1 -98%
Solana Up or Down - April 24, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET May 08 $1 $0 +0%
Will Millwall FC win on 2026-04-25? May 08 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET May 08 $1 $0 +36%
Solana Up or Down - April 24, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET May 08 $1 $0 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET May 08 $2 $0 +3%
Madrid Open: Leolia Jeanjean vs Coco Gauff Apr 24 $1 $0 +5%
Madrid Open: Clara Tauson vs Katerina Siniakova Apr 24 $3 $0 -10%
Oeiras 4: Linda Klimovicova vs Yue Yuan Apr 24 $2 +$4 +188%
Madrid Open: Yulia Putintseva vs Marta Kostyuk Apr 23 $2 −$2 -98%
Oeiras 4: Polina Kudermetova vs Lucia Bronzetti Apr 23 $2 −$2 -98%
LoL: LUA Gaming vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix (BO3) - LES Regular Season Apr 23 $1 $0 +3%
LoL: Gen.G vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Apr 23 $1 $0 +6%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Apr 23 $1 $0 +23%
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs Eintracht Frankfurt (BO3) - Prime Leagu Apr 23 $1 +$1 +57%
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Apr 22 $1 −$1 -100%
LoL: LGD Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana Apr 22 $2 −$2 -99%
Solana Up or Down - April 21, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Apr 22 $2 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Apr 22 $2 +$1 +62%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 21, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Apr 21 $1 −$1 -97%
XRP Up or Down - April 21, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Apr 21 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 21, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Apr 21 $1 −$1 -95%
Will Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC win on 2026-04-20? Apr 21 $1 +$1 +79%
Will Moreirense FC win on 2026-04-20? Apr 21 $2 +$1 +67%
LoL: RED Academy vs Estral Esports (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Apr 21 $1 +$2 +180%
Will CA Barracas Central vs. CA Belgrano end in a draw? Apr 20 $2 −$2 -98%
LoL: INTZ e-Sports vs Ei Nerd Esports (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regu Apr 19 $1 −$1 -98%
Brose Bamberg vs. EWE Baskets Oldenburg Apr 19 $1 $0 +23%
Chemnitz 99 vs. Science City Jena Apr 19 $1 $0 +14%
Gunma Crane Thunders vs. Utsunomiya Brex Apr 19 $1 +$1 +50%
Yokohama B-Corsairs vs. Sun Rockers Shibuya Apr 19 $1 +$2 +165%
MLP Academics Heidelberg vs. Riesen Ludwigsburg Apr 19 $1 +$2 +124%
Levanga Hokkaido vs. Chiba Jets Apr 19 $1 +$2 +146%
Hiroshima Dragonflies vs. Shimane Susanoo Magic Apr 19 $1 +$2 +206%
Ryukyu Golden Kings vs. SAN-EN NeoPhoenix Apr 19 $2 +$2 +114%
Nagoya Fighting Eagles vs. Saga Ballooners Apr 18 $1 −$1 -98%
Koshigaya Alphas vs. Alvark Tokyo Apr 18 $1 −$1 -98%
Altiri Chiba vs. Akita Northern Happinets Apr 18 $1 −$1 -98%
Kyoto Hannaryz vs. SeaHorses Mikawa Apr 18 $1 −$1 -98%
Wuerzburg vs. Fraport Skyliners Apr 18 $1 $0 +0%
Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on April 16? Apr 17 $1 $0 +1%
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on April 16? Apr 17 $1 $0 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 80% −$1,108
crypto 20% +$41
other 0% +$3
tech 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
HSBC Championships (Doubles): Fernandez/Siegemund vs Jovic/Kessler BUY Jovic/Kessler 42¢ $1 1h
Ilkley: Jacob Fearnley vs Filippo Romano BUY Jacob Fearnley 90¢ $1 1h
Cattolica: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Francesco Forti BUY Francesco Forti 44¢ $2 1h
Libema Open: Robin Montgomery vs Barbora Krejcikova BUY Robin Montgomery 31¢ $1 1h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Tessa Brockmann vs Alycia Pa BUY Tessa Brockmann 77¢ $1 1h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Petra Marcinko vs Aoi Ito BUY Petra Marcinko 77¢ $1 1h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Diane Parry vs Ella Seidel BUY Ella Seidel 40¢ $1 1h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Maria Timofeeva vs Renata Za BUY Renata Zarazua 42¢ $2 1h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Lulu Sun vs Anhelina Kalinin BUY Lulu Sun 40¢ $1 1h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Sinja BUY Sinja Kraus 45¢ $1 1h
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Iva Jovic BUY Iva Jovic 54¢ $1 1h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Alicia Dudeney vs Yulia Putintseva BUY Alicia Dudeney 58¢ $1 1h
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Katarzyna Kawa BUY Katarzyna Kawa 55¢ $1 1h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Viktorija Golubic vs Veronika Erjavec BUY Veronika Erjavec 33¢ $1 1h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Taylah Preston BUY Oksana Selekhmeteva 49¢ $1 1h
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Laura Samson BUY Lucia Bronzetti 43¢ $1 1h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Zeynep Sonmez vs Lanlana Tararudee BUY Lanlana Tararudee 34¢ $1 1h
Cattolica: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Francesco Forti BUY Francesco Forti 42¢ $2 1h
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi BUY Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi 27¢ $1 1h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Daniel Evans vs Marcos Giron BUY Daniel Evans 40¢ $1 1h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikata BUY Rinky Hijikata 28¢ $1 1h
UFC Freedom 250: Kyle Daukaus vs. Bo Nickal (Middleweight, Main Card) BUY Kyle Daukaus 27¢ $1 1h
UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main BUY Aiemann Zahabi 22¢ $1 1h
UFC Freedom 250: Michael Chandler vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Mai BUY Mauricio Ruffy 83¢ $1 1h
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Car BUY Diego Lopes 58¢ $2 1h
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card) BUY Josh Hokit 79¢ $1 1h
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card) BUY Ciryl Gane 51¢ $2 1h
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Ca BUY Ilia Topuria 81¢ $1 1h
AEK vs. BC Rytas BUY AEK 62¢ $1 35d
KCC Egis vs. Goyang BUY Goyang 35¢ $1 35d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-3.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 6 +75.3% +58.6% 67% 67% +61.0%
≤30d 6 +75.3% +58.6% 67% 67% +61.0%
≤90d 85 +6.9% -3.2% 64% 47% -72.6%
all 85 +6.9% -3.2% 64% 47% -72.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.1 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -3.2% 47% -72.6%
10% -12.5% 42% -75.2%
15% -21.0% 38% -77.6%
20% -28.7% 29% -79.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $27.69 · official $27.69 (match) · 186 history records