Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T12:27:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

11
0x1123…6017
crypto · 204 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$238 -22%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$238 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$238
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)34%
Wins / losses69 / 135
Open positions0
Markets (closed)204 / 204
History coverage222d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day2.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 204 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$16
7 days−$34
14 days−$34
30 days−$71
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025? Yes 21¢ 0¢ $82 $0 −$82 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5AM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$1 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$3 +35%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$2 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$2 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +113%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$2 +32%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +43%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +117%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$2 +29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -21%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +105%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$238
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7AM ET SELL Down 45¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7AM ET SELL Up 42¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6AM ET SELL Down 43¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5AM ET SELL Down 53¢ $3 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5AM ET SELL Up 48¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5AM ET SELL Down 37¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5AM ET SELL Down 45¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5AM ET SELL Up 55¢ $3 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET SELL Up 43¢ $2 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET SELL Up 43¢ $2 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4AM ET SELL Down 40¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-18.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 141 -8.4% -17.1% 29% 26% -14.2%
≤30d 202 -8.8% -17.5% 34% 31% -16.8%
≤90d 202 -8.8% -17.5% 34% 31% -16.8%
all 204 -9.7% -18.3% 34% 31% -30.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.9 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -18.3% 31% -30.2%
10% -26.1% 26% -36.8%
15% -33.3% 21% -42.9%
20% -39.8% 18% -48.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 686 history records