Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:23:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

11
0x1107…de67
crypto · 1717 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$9,317 -30%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$9,317 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized−$9,317
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)69%
Wins / losses1389 / 627
Open positions0
Markets (closed)2016 / 1717
Avg bet$18
Trades / day213.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 2016 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$9,612
7 days−$9,568
14 days−$9,317
30 days−$9,317
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $81 $0 −$81 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 23, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $109 $0 −$109 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $55 $0 −$55 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 22, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 22, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $158 $0 −$158 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $42 $0 −$42 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 30, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $79 $0 −$79 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $81 −$81 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 23, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $109 −$109 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $55 −$55 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 22, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 22, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $158 −$158 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $42 −$42 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 30, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $79 −$79 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 30, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 29, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 30, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 24, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 30, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $28 −$28 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 29, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $47 −$47 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 30, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 1, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$1,095
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $19 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 12m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 13m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET SELL Down 46¢ $2 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $3 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $19 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 44m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $13 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $4 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $17 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $12 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET SELL Down 8¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $12 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET SELL Down 40¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $12 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $4 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $12 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +24%
net ROI/market (all)-25.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1689 -21.3% -28.8% 63% 27% -37.1%
≤30d 2016 -17.3% -25.2% 69% 24% -30.7%
≤90d 2016 -17.3% -25.2% 69% 24% -30.7%
all 2016 -17.3% -25.2% 69% 24% -30.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover213.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -25.2% 24% -30.7%
10% ← realistic here -32.4% 11% -37.4%
15% -38.9% 2% -43.4%
20% -44.9% 2% -49.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records