Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:22:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

Chart Positions 0 History 153 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$86,438
7 days−$74,422
14 days−$86,534
30 days−$86,534
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Roland Garros WTA: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Leolia Jeanjean Leolia Jeanjean 24¢ $135 $0 −$135 (-100%)
Hamburg European Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Vit Kopriva Vit Kopriva 34¢ $459 $0 −$459 (-100%)
Madrid Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Flavio Cobolli Camilo Ugo Carabelli 33¢ $785 $0 −$785 (-100%)
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 1 Arsenal FC? No 85¢ $2,486 $0 −$2,486 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Moise Kouame Adolfo Vallejo 46¢ $278 $0 −$278 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Flavio Cobolli vs Terence Atmane Terence Atmane $120 $0 −$120 (-100%)
Madrid Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Fabian Marozsan Fabian Marozsan 36¢ $598 $0 −$598 (-100%)
Exact Score: Tottenham Hotspur FC 2 - 1 Leeds United FC? Yes $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Will New Zealand win? No 14¢ $1,781 $0 −$1,781 (-100%)
T20 Blast: Sussex vs Leicestershire Sussex 14¢ $529 $0 −$529 (-100%)
Exact Score: Aston Villa FC 1 - 0 Liverpool FC? Yes $73 $0 −$73 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Damir Dzumhur Damir Dzumhur 42¢ $3,039 $0 −$3,039 (-100%)
Exact Score: Aston Villa FC 0 - 1 Liverpool FC? Yes $92 $0 −$92 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Francesco Maestrelli Francesco Maestrelli 24¢ $493 $0 −$493 (-100%)
Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 1 Czechia? No 91¢ $14,962 $0 −$14,962 (-100%)
Aix en Provence: Ignacio Buse vs Francisco Comesana Francisco Comesana 34¢ $427 $0 −$427 (-100%)
Saint-Malo: Lulu Sun vs Yue Yuan Lulu Sun 51¢ $1,199 $0 −$1,199 (-100%)
La Bisbal: Alina Charaeva vs Dalma Galfi Dalma Galfi $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Exact Score: West Ham United FC 3 - 0 Leeds United FC? No 94¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Bordeaux: Raphael Collignon vs Titouan Droguet Titouan Droguet 21¢ $397 $0 −$397 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: McCartney Kessler vs Lucia Bronzetti Lucia Bronzetti 23¢ $252 $0 −$252 (-100%)
Hamburg European Open: Luciano Darderi vs Alex de Minaur Luciano Darderi 15¢ $168 $0 −$168 (-100%)
Will Southampton FC vs. Middlesbrough FC end in a draw? No 63¢ $81 $0 −$81 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva Maja Chwalinska 12¢ $3,557 $0 −$3,557 (-100%)
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? No 16¢ $55 $0 −$55 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Roland Garros WTA: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Leolia Jeanjean Jun 12 $135 −$135 -100%
Hamburg European Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Vit Kopriva Jun 12 $459 −$530 -116%
Madrid Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Flavio Cobolli Jun 12 $785 −$842 -107%
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 1 Arsenal FC? Jun 12 $2,486 −$2,500 -101%
Roland Garros ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Moise Kouame Jun 12 $278 −$254 -92%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Flavio Cobolli vs Terence Atmane Jun 12 $120 −$166 -138%
Madrid Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Fabian Marozsan Jun 12 $598 −$624 -104%
Exact Score: Tottenham Hotspur FC 2 - 1 Leeds United FC? Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Will New Zealand win? Jun 12 $1,781 −$1,814 -102%
Exact Score: Aston Villa FC 1 - 0 Liverpool FC? Jun 12 $73 −$73 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Damir Dzumhur Jun 12 $3,039 −$1,651 -54%
Exact Score: Aston Villa FC 0 - 1 Liverpool FC? Jun 12 $92 −$92 -100%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Francesco Maestr Jun 12 $493 −$703 -142%
Aix en Provence: Ignacio Buse vs Francisco Comesana Jun 12 $427 −$472 -111%
Saint-Malo: Lulu Sun vs Yue Yuan Jun 12 $1,199 −$1,199 -100%
La Bisbal: Alina Charaeva vs Dalma Galfi Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Exact Score: West Ham United FC 3 - 0 Leeds United FC? Jun 12 $31 −$31 -100%
Bordeaux: Raphael Collignon vs Titouan Droguet Jun 12 $397 −$370 -93%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: McCartney Kessler vs Lucia Bronzetti Jun 12 $252 −$233 -92%
Hamburg European Open: Luciano Darderi vs Alex de Minaur Jun 12 $168 −$187 -112%
Will Southampton FC vs. Middlesbrough FC end in a draw? Jun 12 $81 −$81 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Cristian Garin vs Learner Tien Jun 12 $466 −$480 -103%
ITF Trnava: Claire Liu vs Anna Siskova Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
Exact Score: Crystal Palace FC 0 - 0 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid? Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Internationaux de Strasbourg, Qualification: McCartney Kessler vs Oksa Jun 12 $378 −$352 -93%
Francavilla: Felix Gill vs Zdenek Kolar Jun 12 $69 −$69 -100%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Zeynep Sonmez vs Jennifer Ruggeri Jun 12 $358 −$388 -109%
Roland Garros ATP: Completed Match: Stan Wawrinka vs Jesper de Jong Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Exact Score: Tottenham Hotspur FC 2 - 2 Leeds United FC? Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Sara Sorribes Tormo vs Tamara Korpatsch Jun 12 $213 −$213 -100%
T20 Blast: Northamptonshire vs Gloucestershire Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Ignacio Buse vs Andrey Rublev Jun 12 $518 −$872 -168%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Aryna Sabalenka vs Barbora Krejcikova Jun 12 $107 −$107 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublev Jun 12 $11,465 −$10,743 -94%
T20 Blast: Leicestershire vs Derbyshire Jun 12 $524 −$501 -96%
Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Rinky Hijikata vs Taro Daniel Jun 12 $481 −$481 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Hailey Baptiste vs Barbora Krejcikova Jun 12 $1,122 −$4,719 -420%
Parma: Barbora Krejcikova vs Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva Jun 12 $409 −$441 -108%
Roland Garros ATP: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Jun 12 $708 −$877 -124%
Exact Score: Tottenham Hotspur FC 3 - 0 Everton FC? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
T20 Blast: Hampshire vs Essex Jun 12 $101 −$101 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Ben Shelton Jun 12 $698 −$693 -99%
T20 Blast: Worcestershire vs Warwickshire Jun 12 $881 −$881 -100%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Iga Swiatek Jun 12 $116 −$116 -100%
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Victoria Mboko vs Leylah Fernandez Jun 12 $88 −$88 -100%
Bordeaux: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Quentin Halys Jun 12 $209 −$209 -100%
T20 Blast: Warwickshire vs Northamptonshire Jun 12 $1,914 −$1,914 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca Jun 12 $29 +$16 +56%
Madrid Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Luciano Darderi Jun 12 $392 −$407 -104%
Istanbul: Donna Vekic vs Maria Timofeeva Jun 12 $1,946 −$2,180 -112%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 72% −$25,119
sports 28% −$9,066
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL No $3 6h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL No $3 6h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL No $3 6h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL No $3 6h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL No $3 6h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL No $3 6h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL No $3 6h
Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 2 Czechia? SELL No 99¢ $109 6h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY No 92¢ $1,109 6h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY No 91¢ $883 6h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? SELL Yes 11¢ $9 6h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY No 91¢ $727 6h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? SELL No 93¢ $1,326 6h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? SELL No 93¢ $1,326 6h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? SELL No 93¢ $1,326 6h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? SELL No 93¢ $44 6h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY No 92¢ $1,153 6h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY No 92¢ $695 6h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY No 92¢ $677 6h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? SELL Yes $2 6h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY No 91¢ $1,014 6h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY No 91¢ $1,014 6h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY No 91¢ $295 6h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY No 91¢ $1,014 6h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY No 91¢ $1,014 6h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY No 91¢ $1,014 6h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? SELL No 100¢ $7,053 6h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? SELL No 100¢ $69 6h
Exact Score: Korea Republic 3 - 1 Czechia? BUY No 88¢ $13 6h
Exact Score: Korea Republic 3 - 1 Czechia? BUY No 86¢ $62 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +12%
net ROI/market (all)-53.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 151 -48.1% -53.0% 40% 12% -23.1%
≤30d 153 -48.0% -53.0% 40% 12% -25.1%
≤90d 153 -48.0% -53.0% 40% 12% -25.1%
all 153 -48.0% -53.0% 40% 12% -25.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover458.6 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -53.0% 12% -25.1%
10% -57.5% 6% -32.3%
15% ← realistic here -61.6% 5% -38.8%
20% -65.4% 4% -44.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records