trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 0% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 10 | +1.8% | -7.9% | 30% | 10% | -9.2% |
| ≤90d | 10 | +1.8% | -7.9% | 30% | 10% | -9.2% |
| all | 19 | -3.6% | -12.8% | 47% | 5% | -9.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -12.8% | 5% | -9.4% |
| 10% | -21.2% | 5% | -18.0% |
| 15% | -28.8% | 0% | -26.0% |
| 20% | -35.8% | 0% | -33.2% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? | Jun 23 | $48 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Jun 03 | $4 | $0 | -5% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | Jun 03 | $53 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 02 | $75 | +$3 | +4% |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31? | May 30 | $4 | +$1 | +23% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | May 29 | $46 | −$1 | -3% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | May 29 | $41 | $0 | +0% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | May 28 | $84 | −$1 | -1% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | May 28 | $46 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | May 27 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 17 | $1 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Frank McCourt buy TikTok? | Jun 24 | $8 | $0 | +5% |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025 NBA Finals? | May 30 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $125k in May? | May 11 | $7 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Edi Rama be the next Prime Minister of Albania after the 2025 ele | May 11 | $8 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Kylian Mbappe win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? | May 10 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Péter Erdő be the next pope? | May 09 | $8 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the next Government of Canada be a Conservative majority? | Apr 20 | $7 | $0 | +1% |
| Will 'Magazine Dreams' gross between 1-2m on opening weekend? | Mar 24 | $1 | −$1 | -96% |