Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T09:17:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

10
0x10dd…e5fc
crypto · 21 markets active 3h ago
0.5score
+$61,010 +50%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$61,010 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized+$61,010
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses12 / 9
Whale WR (big bets)83%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)21 / 21
Avg bet$5,839
Trades / day927.8
Drawdown25%
Kalshi-fit90%
Chart Positions 0 History 21 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$61,010
7 days+$61,010
14 days+$61,010
30 days+$61,010
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $1,482 $0 −$1,482 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $542 $0 −$542 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $16,084 $0 −$16,084 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $2,359 $0 −$2,359 (-100%)
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Yes 18¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $1,655 $0 −$1,655 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $328 $0 −$328 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $1,029 +$437 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $2,470 −$2,359 -96%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $205 −$200 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $1,721 −$1,655 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $2,101 +$5,712 +272%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $11,390 +$11,390 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $16,084 −$16,084 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 12 $35,048 +$35,048 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $24,453 +$24,453 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $3,793 +$524 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 12 $7,016 −$1,891 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $1,324 −$825 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 11 $2,702 +$2,867 +106%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 11 $389 +$91 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 11 $601 +$1,398 +232%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 11 $6,032 +$542 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 11 $919 +$1,168 +127%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 11 $2,693 −$497 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 11 $1,762 +$1,762 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 11 $333 −$328 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 11 $558 −$542 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% +$60,773
other 1% +$237
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $1,467 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $329 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $328 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $469 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $365 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $473 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $292 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $213 4h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 71¢ $1,009 5h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 18¢ $205 5h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 33¢ $10 6h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 33¢ $10 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $686 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $70 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $453 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $513 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $391 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $165 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $450 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $295 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $326 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $283 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $192 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $11,390 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $16 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $11 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $15 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $12 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $25 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)+9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 21 +21.2% +9.7% 57% 52% +38.0%
≤30d 21 +21.2% +9.7% 57% 52% +38.0%
≤90d 21 +21.2% +9.7% 57% 52% +38.0%
all 21 +21.2% +9.7% 57% 52% +38.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover927.8 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +9.7% 52% +38.0%
10% -0.8% 48% +24.8%
15% ← realistic here -10.4% 43% +12.8%
20% -19.2% 38% +1.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1092 history records