Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T05:41:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
10 0x10d8…1d8d crypto 356 markets active 0h ago coverage 2d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (223 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 2d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$11 (+1%) realized +$11 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -22% what you keep after slip
Net edge-22%after slip
Net WR10%break-even
Win rate96%341W / 15L
Drawdown55%max
Avg bet$2per market
Trades / day222.7pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 2d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$12
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (223 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +10%
net ROI/market (all)-8.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 356 +1.7% -8.0% 96% 10% -8.2%
≤30d 356 +1.7% -8.0% 96% 10% -8.2%
≤90d 356 +1.7% -8.0% 96% 10% -8.2%
all 356 +1.7% -8.0% 96% 10% -8.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover222.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.0% 10% -8.2%
10% ← realistic here -16.8% 1% -17.0%
15% -24.9% 0% -25.0%
20% -32.2% 0% -32.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
86% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +2% · $-wt +2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +1% → late +2% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$2 · ×0.06 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.36 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$11
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)96%
Wins / losses341 / 15
Open positions0
Markets (closed)356 / 356
History coverage2d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day222.7
Drawdown55%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 356 Trades
no open positions (15 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +23%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $2 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $2 3m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $2 8m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $2 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 19m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 19m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $2 20m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 22m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 22m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 29m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $2 30m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $2 38m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $1 42m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 42m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 47m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 53m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $1 53m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 57m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1 59m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 781 history records