Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T14:38:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

10
0x10d2…46d1
crypto · 855 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$4 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$4 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$7
Realized−$4
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)71%
Wins / losses604 / 250
Open positions1
Markets (closed)854 / 855
History coverage6d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day167.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 854 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5
7 days−$4
14 days−$4
30 days−$4
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 70¢ 100¢ $3 $4 +$1 (+43%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Up 78¢ 82¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+6%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +23%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $3 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $3 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $3 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $3 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $3 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $3 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $3 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $3 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $3 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $3 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +69%
net ROI/market (all)-9.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 854 -0.1% -9.6% 71% 69% -9.5%
≤30d 854 -0.1% -9.6% 71% 69% -9.5%
≤90d 854 -0.1% -9.6% 71% 69% -9.5%
all 854 -0.1% -9.6% 71% 69% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover167.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.6% 69% -9.5%
10% ← realistic here -18.2% 61% -18.1%
15% -26.1% 43% -26.1%
20% -33.4% 10% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $7.46 · official $7.11 (match) · 1568 history records