Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T09:11:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
10 0x10cd…8a22 crypto 1308 markets active 1h ago coverage 8d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (184 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$29 (+1%) realized +$29 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR41%break-even
Win rate85%1111W / 197L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$4per market
Trades / day183.7pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$8
7 days−$23
14 days−$23
30 days−$23
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 99% −$22
world 1% −$1
weather 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (184 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-10.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1306 -1.2% -10.6% 85% 41% -9.9%
≤30d 1308 -1.2% -10.6% 85% 41% -9.9%
≤90d 1308 -1.2% -10.6% 85% 41% -9.9%
all 1308 -1.2% -10.6% 85% 41% -9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover183.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.6% 41% -9.9%
10% ← realistic here -19.1% 19% -18.5%
15% -26.9% 6% -26.4%
20% -34.1% 2% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
50% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -2% → late -0% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$3 · ×0.17 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.96 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

8d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$29
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)85%
Wins / losses1111 / 197
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1308 / 1308
History coverage8d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day183.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1308 Trades
no open positions (136 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -86%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +25%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +33%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$2 -48%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +42%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$2 -53%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$1 -18%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$1 -24%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +29%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +31%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +36%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +48%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +25%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +26%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$3 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$1 -16%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $4 52m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET SELL Down 13¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $4 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $4 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $4 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $4 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $4 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $4 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $4 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $4 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $4 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET SELL Up 38¢ $2 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $4 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $4 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $4 10h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $4 10h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 11h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 11h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $3 11h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET SELL Up 42¢ $2 11h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $4 11h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET SELL Down 65¢ $3 11h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $4 11h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $4 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2520 history records