Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:09:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

10
0x10bc…76be
crypto · 1386 markets active 0h ago
1.0score
+$883 +9%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$882 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$6
Realized+$882
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses787 / 600
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1387 / 1386
History coverage11d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day190.5
Drawdown29%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1387 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$130
7 days+$691
14 days+$882
30 days+$882
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Up 73¢ 98¢ $4 $5 +$1 (+34%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Down 77¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+30%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Down 48¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+108%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Down 71¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+41%)
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +108%
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$10 -69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$10 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$12 +103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $11 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$3 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$6 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $16 +$7 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$6 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$2 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$3 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$7 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$2 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$10 +172%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$6 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$3 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$25 +425%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$4 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +57%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$882
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $4 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $6 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $5 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $6 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $5 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $5 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $6 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $3 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $6 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $6 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $6 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $5 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $5 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $6 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +56%
net ROI/market (all)-2.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 964 +8.6% -1.8% 58% 57% -1.2%
≤30d 1387 +7.7% -2.6% 57% 56% -1.7%
≤90d 1387 +7.7% -2.6% 57% 56% -1.7%
all 1387 +7.7% -2.6% 57% 56% -1.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover190.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -2.6% 56% -1.7%
10% ← realistic here -11.9% 49% -11.1%
15% -20.4% 39% -19.7%
20% -28.2% 32% -27.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $6.17 · official $4.22 · 3500 history records