Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T19:19:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

10
0x10b5…9645
crypto · 2235 markets active 0h ago
3.0score
+$6,969 +13%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$6,296 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$78
Realized+$6,296
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)63%
Wins / losses1245 / 735
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1980 / 2235
History coverage35d
Avg bet$23
Trades / day64.9
Drawdown50%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1980 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6,077
7 days−$3,146
14 days+$3,510
30 days+$6,108
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 53¢ 100¢ $22 $42 +$20 (+89%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 62¢ 100¢ $22 $36 +$14 (+60%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 14 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 14 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 14 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 14 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 14 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 14 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 14 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 14 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 14 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 14 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 14 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 14 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 14 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 14 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 14 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 14 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 14 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 14 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 14 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 14 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 14 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 14 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 14 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 14 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 14 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 14 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 14 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 14 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 14 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 14 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 14 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 14 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 14 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 14 $22 −$22 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$12,636
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $23 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $23 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $23 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $23 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $23 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $23 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $23 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $23 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $23 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $23 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $23 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $23 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $23 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $23 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $23 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $23 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $23 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $23 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $23 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $23 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $23 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $23 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $23 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $23 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $23 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $23 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $23 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $23 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $23 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $23 32h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +63%
net ROI/market (all)+1.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 553 -26.9% -33.9% 41% 41% -32.3%
≤30d 1658 +14.3% +3.4% 64% 64% +4.8%
≤90d 1980 +12.3% +1.6% 63% 63% +2.9%
all 1980 +12.3% +1.6% 63% 63% +2.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover64.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +1.6% 63% +2.9%
10% ← realistic here -8.1% 62% -7.0%
15% -17.0% 59% -16.0%
20% -25.1% 51% -24.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $78.46 · official $78.46 (match) · 3500 history records