Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T09:22:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

10
0x10a6…4d8b
sports · 115 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$123,565 -27%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$123,624 · open +$59
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$13,033
Realized−$123,624
Unrealized+$59
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses59 / 54
Whale WR (big bets)55%
Est. fees paid−$4,276
Open positions2
Markets (closed)113 / 115
Avg bet$3,934
Trades / day17.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit81%
Chart Positions 2 History 113 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$77,031
7 days−$77,874
14 days−$118,155
30 days−$123,811
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? Yes 52¢ 52¢ $11,458 $11,569 +$110 (+1%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Under 50¢ 48¢ $1,515 $1,464 −$51 (-3%)
São Paulo FC vs. CA Boston River: O/U 3.5 Over 47¢ 0¢ $1,567 $0 −$1,567 (-100%)
Will AC Nagano Parceiro win on 2026-06-05? Yes 36¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
UD Almería vs. CD Castellón: O/U 4.5 Under 71¢ 0¢ $534 $0 −$534 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Flavio Cobolli 28¢ 0¢ $1,972 $0 −$1,972 (-100%)
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5 Under 48¢ 0¢ $14,500 $0 −$14,500 (-100%)
Rosenborg BK vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 4.5 Over 55¢ 0¢ $699 $0 −$699 (-100%)
Londrina EC vs. São Bernardo FC: O/U 2.5 Under 46¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-05-24? Yes 39¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Spread: SC Internacional (-2.5) SC Internacional 41¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
SC Internacional vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5 Under 60¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Clube do Remo vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 3.5 Over 41¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Hungary vs. Finland: O/U 2.5 Under 44¢ 0¢ $2,322 $0 −$2,322 (-100%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? Yes 35¢ 0¢ $44,300 $0 −$44,300 (-100%)
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-05-13? Yes 85¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Philippines vs. Guam: O/U 5.5 Under 50¢ 0¢ $41 $0 −$41 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva Maja Chwalinska 16¢ 0¢ $588 $0 −$588 (-100%)
Stade Brestois 29 vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 3.5 Over 52¢ 0¢ $103 $0 −$103 (-100%)
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 Under 55¢ 0¢ $13,328 $0 −$13,328 (-100%)
Will AIK win on 2026-05-30? Yes 30¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
UD Almería vs. CD Castellón: O/U 3.5 Under 46¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Will Shimizu S-Pulse win on 2026-05-24? Yes 28¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Spread: SC Internacional (-1.5) SC Internacional 64¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Will FC Machida Zelvia win on 2026-05-13? Yes 53¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 10.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $104 +$114 +110%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $594 +$401 +67%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $744 −$730 -98%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $13,508 −$13,328 -99%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $115,583 −$114,145 -99%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $32,467 +$15,388 +47%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Jun 11 $40,293 +$28,341 +70%
Mexico vs. South Africa: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $215 +$26 +12%
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios Jun 11 $6,272 +$8,786 +140%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 3.5 Jun 10 $215 −$210 -98%
Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $359 +$297 +83%
Will Orebro SK win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $2,002 −$1,971 -98%
Argentina vs. Iceland: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $3,800 +$920 +24%
Argentina vs. Iceland: O/U 3.5 Jun 10 $2,873 +$281 +10%
Spread: Argentina (-2.5) Jun 10 $2 +$3 +206%
Spread: Argentina (-1.5) Jun 10 $830 −$822 -99%
UD Almería vs. CD Castellón: O/U 4.5 Jun 09 $539 −$534 -99%
UD Almería vs. CD Castellón: O/U 3.5 Jun 09 $13 −$13 -98%
Belarus vs. Burkina Faso: O/U 3.5 Jun 09 $244 +$256 +105%
DR Congo vs. Chile: O/U 1.5 Jun 09 $36 −$35 -98%
China PR vs. Thailand: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $67 +$16 +23%
Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 1.5 Jun 08 $2 +$3 +146%
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) Jun 08 $2,502 +$2,441 +98%
Netherlands leading at halftime? Jun 08 $677 +$560 +83%
Spread: France (-2.5) Jun 08 $1,400 −$1,381 -99%
Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 3.5 Jun 08 $26,340 +$10,555 +40%
Will Denmark win on 2026-06-07? Jun 08 $18,052 +$1,977 +11%
Spread: Colombia (-1.5) Jun 07 $5,577 −$5,491 -98%
Morocco vs. Norway: O/U 2.5 Jun 07 $2,287 +$44 +2%
Morocco vs. Norway: O/U 1.5 Jun 07 $699 +$381 +55%
Morocco vs. Norway: O/U 3.5 Jun 07 $805 −$294 -36%
Greece vs. Italy: O/U 2.5 Jun 07 $508 +$420 +83%
Greece vs. Italy: O/U 1.5 Jun 07 $545 +$268 +49%
Croatia vs. Slovenia: O/U 1.5 Jun 07 $6 +$5 +86%
Croatia vs. Slovenia: O/U 2.5 Jun 07 $8 −$8 -99%
Kosovo vs. Andorra: O/U 2.5 Jun 07 $637 −$628 -99%
Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 2.5 Jun 07 $4,065 −$4,009 -99%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Jun 07 $2,015 −$1,972 -98%
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) Jun 07 $821 +$601 +73%
United States vs. Germany: O/U 3.5 Jun 06 $410 +$144 +35%
Belgium vs. Tunisia: O/U 3.5 Jun 06 $8,130 +$3,395 +42%
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva Jun 06 $603 −$588 -98%
Belgium vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5 Jun 06 $4,429 −$4,360 -98%
Hungary vs. Finland: O/U 3.5 Jun 05 $661 +$569 +86%
Hungary vs. Finland: O/U 2.5 Jun 05 $2,362 −$2,322 -98%
Belarus vs. Syria: O/U 3.5 Jun 05 $902 −$889 -99%
Shanghai Sharks vs. Zhejiang Lions Jun 05 $18 −$10 -55%
Spread: Hong Kong SAR (-1.5) Jun 05 $325 −$320 -99%
Kamatamare Sanuki vs. AC Nagano Parceiro: O/U 1.5 Jun 05 $174 +$23 +13%
ITF Focsani: Sophie Greiner vs Alexia Ioana Tatu Jun 05 $5 +$3 +52%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 76% −$86,324
other 21% −$37,910
world 3% +$110
crypto 0% +$560
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Under 50¢ $1,410 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Under 47¢ $4 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Under 46¢ $14 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Under 47¢ $110 1h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 10.5 Total Corners BUY Over 36¢ $2 5h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 10.5 Total Corners BUY Over 36¢ $2 5h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 10.5 Total Corners BUY Under 45¢ $100 5h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY Yes 38¢ $744 6h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 55¢ $865 6h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 55¢ $3,698 6h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 55¢ $2,562 6h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 55¢ $4,662 6h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 55¢ $1,720 6h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: 1st Half O/U 0.5 BUY Under 59¢ $594 6h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 58¢ $115,583 7h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 87¢ $1,156 12h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 68¢ $4,070 12h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 68¢ $6,717 12h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 68¢ $10,401 12h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 68¢ $8,409 12h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 45¢ $6 12h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 46¢ $732 12h
Mexico vs. South Africa: 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Over 12¢ $2 13h
Mexico vs. South Africa: 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Under 88¢ $212 13h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 56¢ $78 13h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 52¢ $898 13h
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios BUY Sho Shimabukuro 40¢ $834 21h
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios BUY Sho Shimabukuro 41¢ $4,798 21h
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios BUY Sho Shimabukuro 41¢ $640 21h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 9.5 Total Corners BUY Under 57¢ $674 25h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-16.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 52 -8.5% -17.2% 54% 50% -32.7%
≤30d 101 -7.3% -16.1% 51% 47% -35.3%
≤90d 113 -7.5% -16.3% 52% 48% -35.2%
all 113 -7.5% -16.3% 52% 48% -35.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover17.7 tr/day
realistic slip~14%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.3% 48% -35.2%
10% ← realistic here -24.3% 42% -41.4%
15% -31.6% 35% -47.0%
20% -38.3% 30% -52.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $13,032.62 · official $13,032.62 (match) · 608 history records