Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:56:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

10
0x109e…bcd3
crypto · 39 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$9 -10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$9 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$9
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses25 / 14
Open positions0
Markets (closed)39 / 39
History coverage3d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day35.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 39 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5
7 days−$9
14 days−$9
30 days−$9
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$4 +202%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$1 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +117%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 10 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 10 $3 +$1 +19%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$9
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $1 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +59%
net ROI/market (all)-8.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 39 +1.7% -8.0% 64% 59% -18.8%
≤30d 39 +1.7% -8.0% 64% 59% -18.8%
≤90d 39 +1.7% -8.0% 64% 59% -18.8%
all 39 +1.7% -8.0% 64% 59% -18.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover35.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.0% 59% -18.8%
10% ← realistic here -16.8% 49% -26.6%
15% -24.8% 46% -33.7%
20% -32.2% 33% -40.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 122 history records