trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 23 | -39.4% | -45.1% | 30% | 26% | -46.7% |
| ≤30d | 23 | -39.4% | -45.1% | 30% | 26% | -46.7% |
| ≤90d | 23 | -39.4% | -45.1% | 30% | 26% | -46.7% |
| all | 23 | -39.4% | -45.1% | 30% | 26% | -46.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -45.1% | 26% | -46.7% |
| 10% | -50.4% | 26% | -51.8% |
| 15% | -55.2% | 22% | -56.5% |
| 20% | -59.6% | 17% | -60.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 63¢ | 64¢ | $30 | $30 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 59¢ | 60¢ | $30 | $30 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will England reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 64¢ | 64¢ | $30 | $30 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 43¢ | 42¢ | $30 | $30 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Japan reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 27¢ | 26¢ | $30 | $29 | −$1 (-2%) |
| Will Netherlands reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 46¢ | 45¢ | $30 | $29 | −$1 (-2%) |
| Will Netherlands reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 60¢ | 66¢ | $25 | $28 | +$2 (+9%) |
| Will Japan reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 50¢ | 48¢ | $25 | $24 | −$1 (-3%) |
| Will Norway reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 63¢ | 60¢ | $25 | $24 | −$1 (-3%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 22 | $9 | −$4 | -48% |
| Spread: Austria (-1.5) AND Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 1.5 | Jun 22 | $20 | +$6 | +30% |
| Will Croatia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 22 | $18 | $0 | -2% |
| Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Saudi Arabia? | Jun 22 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Spread: Japan (-1.5) | Jun 22 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Saudi Arabia? | Jun 22 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Spread: Japan (-2.5) | Jun 22 | $39 | −$39 | -100% |
| Spread: Japan (-3.5) | Jun 22 | $60 | −$60 | -100% |
| Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 3.5 AND Spread: Spain (-2.5) | Jun 21 | $4 | +$3 | +83% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $26 | +$12 | +46% |
| Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 1 Sweden? | Jun 21 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 1 Sweden? | Jun 21 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? | Jun 21 | $12 | −$12 | -100% |
| Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw? | Jun 21 | $28 | −$28 | -100% |
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 21 | $18 | −$18 | -100% |
| Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw? | Jun 21 | $23 | −$23 | -100% |
| Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Jun 21 | $33 | −$33 | -100% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 21 | $22 | −$22 | -100% |
| Will Tunisia vs. Japan end in a draw? | Jun 21 | $6 | −$1 | -9% |
| Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5 | Jun 21 | $10 | $0 | +3% |
| Spread: Germany (-1.5) AND Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 4.5 | Jun 20 | $10 | +$7 | +70% |
| Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 1.5 AND Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20 | Jun 20 | $10 | +$9 | +89% |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $41 | +$55 | +134% |