Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T01:56:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
10 0x106c…d05d crypto 550 markets active 2h ago coverage 41d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$199 (-3%) realized −$199 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -5% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -21% what you keep after slip
Net edge-21%after slip
Net WR8%break-even
Win rate88%486W / 64L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$14per market
Trades / day15.4pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2
7 days−$144
14 days−$140
30 days−$227
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$223
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +8%
net ROI/market (all)-14.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 150 -7.9% -16.7% 88% 0% -22.9%
≤30d 289 -7.4% -16.3% 87% 4% -16.1%
≤90d 550 -5.1% -14.1% 88% 8% -12.1%
all 550 -5.1% -14.1% 88% 8% -12.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover15.4 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.1% 8% -12.1%
10% -22.3% 3% -20.5%
15% -29.8% 2% -28.2%
20% -36.7% 1% -35.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 7% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
90% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -5% · $-wt -3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -3% → late -8% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$8 · ×0.07 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.57 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

41d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$199
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)88%
Wins / losses486 / 64
Open positions0
Markets (closed)550 / 550
History coverage41d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day15.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 550 Trades
no open positions (38 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET SELL Down 92¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1132 history records