Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T10:23:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

10
0x1065…6218
sports · 911 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$117,029 -20%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$110,558 · open −$6,471
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$28,041
Realized−$110,558
Unrealized−$6,471
Win rate (resolved)39%
Wins / losses330 / 525
Whale WR (big bets)44%
Est. fees paid−$6,953
Open positions41
Markets (closed)855 / 911
History coverage59d
Avg bet$655
Trades / day43.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit90%
Chart Positions 41 History 855 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2,334
7 days+$3,640
14 days−$8,118
30 days−$28,901
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 Under 54¢ 52¢ $9,507 $9,323 −$183 (-2%)
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 Over 47¢ 46¢ $2,557 $2,530 −$27 (-1%)
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Under 46¢ 46¢ $2,506 $2,479 −$27 (-1%)
Türkiye leading at halftime? Yes 40¢ 38¢ $1,827 $1,763 −$64 (-3%)
Spread: Spurs (-4.5) Knicks 47¢ 46¢ $1,410 $1,395 −$15 (-1%)
Spread: Spurs (-7.5) Spurs 42¢ 42¢ $1,253 $1,238 −$15 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FUT Esports 73¢ 28¢ $2,873 $1,121 −$1,752 (-61%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Over 44¢ 42¢ $903 $881 −$22 (-2%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 58¢ 57¢ $805 $798 −$7 (-1%)
Rainbow Six Siege: EDward Gaming vs Four Angry Men (BO3) - CN League Stage 1 Group Stage EDward Gaming 48¢ 69¢ $539 $775 +$236 (+44%)
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Cloud9 53¢ 52¢ $733 $723 −$11 (-1%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score No 68¢ 66¢ $618 $604 −$14 (-2%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Natus Vincere 70¢ 34¢ $1,233 $590 −$643 (-52%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 Under 48¢ 44¢ $538 $487 −$50 (-9%)
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Team WE 9¢ 12¢ $320 $459 +$139 (+43%)
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? Yes 44¢ 44¢ $455 $450 −$5 (-1%)
Rainbow Six Siege: EDward Gaming vs Four Angry Men - Game 1 Winner EDward Gaming 47¢ 100¢ $132 $281 +$149 (+113%)
Belgium vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score Yes 49¢ 48¢ $277 $275 −$3 (-1%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Yes 47¢ 46¢ $259 $256 −$3 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner Natus Vincere 67¢ 44¢ $336 $221 −$115 (-34%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner MOUZ 28¢ 27¢ $224 $216 −$8 (-4%)
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs XLG Gaming (+1.5) G2 Esports 55¢ 56¢ $178 $182 +$5 (+3%)
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage HEROIC Academy 42¢ 41¢ $158 $154 −$4 (-2%)
Rainbow Six Siege: Kingzone vs Leviatán Esports - Game 1 Winner Leviatán Esports 41¢ 39¢ $151 $144 −$7 (-5%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Under 53¢ 46¢ $166 $142 −$23 (-14%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Spread: Washington Mystics (-2.5) Jun 12 $241 −$237 -98%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $112 +$573 +509%
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $71 +$286 +400%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $219 +$260 +119%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $1,472 +$1,428 +97%
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) Jun 12 $272 +$431 +158%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $860 +$430 +50%
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs INOX Division - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $120 +$14 +12%
Rainbow Six Siege: Leviatán Esports vs Four Angry Men (BO3) - CN Leagu Jun 12 $160 +$215 +134%
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B Jun 12 $56 −$55 -98%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $85 +$100 +119%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $163 +$218 +134%
Spread: Indiana Fever (-9.5) Jun 11 $1,177 −$1,160 -98%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St Jun 11 $178 −$176 -99%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Jun 11 $110 −$107 -98%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $579 +$441 +76%
Valorant: Oasis Gaming vs BOOM Esports (BO3) - VCL Southeast Asia: Pla Jun 11 $20 +$29 +146%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $562 +$428 +76%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $167 −$164 -98%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali Jun 11 $148 −$146 -98%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $229 −$224 -98%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $255 −$250 -98%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $691 +$571 +83%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Jun 11 $2,135 −$2,102 -98%
Counter-Strike: NEW VISION vs XI Esport (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe P Jun 11 $53 +$126 +238%
Counter-Strike: illwill vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group S Jun 11 $100 +$215 +216%
England vs. Costa Rica: Both Teams to Score Jun 11 $4,984 +$2,601 +52%
Map Handicap: VP (-1.5) vs KOLESIE (+1.5) Jun 10 $104 −$102 -98%
LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATA Jun 10 $84 −$82 -98%
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs INOX Division (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Jun 10 $135 +$148 +109%
LoL: PCIFIC vs Forsaken - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $104 +$215 +206%
Dota 2: Level UP vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Europe Jun 10 $181 +$148 +82%
LoL: EDward Gaming Youth Team vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy (BO3) - As Jun 10 $180 +$1,020 +566%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage Jun 10 $3,039 +$3,167 +104%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG - Map 1 Winner Jun 10 $914 −$898 -98%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Atreides - Map 1 Winner Jun 10 $125 −$123 -98%
LoL: PCIFIC vs Forsaken - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $104 −$102 -98%
Rainbow Six Siege: PSYKN Company vs Weibo Gaming (BO1) - Asia Pacific Jun 10 $17 −$16 -97%
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-3.5) Jun 09 $126 −$124 -98%
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 09 $76 +$65 +86%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $154 +$215 +140%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Atreides (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Jun 09 $263 −$259 -98%
Map Handicap: MNTE (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5) Jun 09 $32 +$71 +226%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $141 +$146 +104%
Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5) Jun 09 $641 +$719 +112%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Leo Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $156 −$154 -98%
Atlanta Dream vs. Chicago Sky Jun 09 $236 −$230 -98%
Estonia vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score Jun 09 $49 −$48 -99%
Liberia vs. Sierra Leone: Both Teams to Score Jun 09 $3,913 −$3,902 -100%
Will US Yacoub El Mansour win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $223 −$219 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 79% −$100,788
other 21% −$16,242
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Under 46¢ $327 11m
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Under 46¢ $229 26m
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Under 46¢ $653 35m
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Under 46¢ $653 37m
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Under 46¢ $229 39m
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Under 46¢ $229 39m
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Under 46¢ $229 41m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 53¢ $1,556 48m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 53¢ $1,556 50m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 53¢ $5 56m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 53¢ $1,325 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 43¢ $442 1h
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 54¢ $998 1h
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 54¢ $12 1h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & BUY Vivo Keyd Stars 27¢ $28 1h
Games Total: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 32¢ $49 1h
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) BUY FUT Esports 45¢ $61 1h
Spread: Spurs (-4.5) BUY Knicks 47¢ $521 1h
Spread: Spurs (-7.5) BUY Spurs 42¢ $425 1h
Spread: Spurs (-4.5) BUY Knicks 47¢ $521 1h
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) BUY FUT Esports 45¢ $180 1h
Türkiye leading at halftime? BUY Yes 39¢ $189 1h
Spread: Spurs (-7.5) BUY Spurs 42¢ $425 1h
Spread: Spurs (-4.5) BUY Knicks 47¢ $391 1h
Spread: Spurs (-7.5) BUY Spurs 42¢ $425 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 47¢ $263 1h
Türkiye leading at halftime? BUY Yes 40¢ $348 1h
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 54¢ $26 1h
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 54¢ $26 1h
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 54¢ $12 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-15.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 100 +38.0% +24.8% 59% 56% -4.4%
≤30d 449 +0.9% -8.8% 42% 41% -18.3%
≤90d 855 -6.0% -15.0% 39% 38% -27.6%
all 855 -6.0% -15.0% 39% 38% -27.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover43.0 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.0% 38% -27.6%
10% -23.1% 37% -34.6%
15% ← realistic here -30.5% 37% -40.9%
20% -37.3% 34% -46.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $28,040.96 · official $28,041.50 (match) · 2899 history records