Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:03:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

10
0x1061…1f47
sports · 36 markets active 3h ago
0.0score
−$7 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$7 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized−$7
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses18 / 17
Est. fees paid−$4
Open positions1
Markets (closed)35 / 36
History coverage9d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day13.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 1 History 35 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$26
7 days+$1
14 days−$7
30 days−$7
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Sri Lanka Sri Lanka 13¢ 12¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-15%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Kwibuka T20 Tournament, Women: Rwanda vs Nigeria Jun 12 $15 −$7 -45%
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Hong Kong, China vs United Arab Emirates Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka Jun 12 $17 −$5 -28%
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia Jun 12 $39 −$12 -31%
Kwibuka T20 Tournament, Women: Rwanda vs Zimbabwe High Performance Xi Jun 10 $10 −$5 -54%
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Thailand vs Nepal Jun 10 $5 +$1 +20%
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Indonesia vs Oman Jun 10 $34 +$3 +8%
T20 Blast: Essex vs Kent Jun 10 $3 +$3 +97%
T20 Blast: Northamptonshire vs Worcestershire Jun 10 $3 +$2 +62%
T20 Blast: Durham vs Lancashire Jun 09 $3 $0 -5%
T20 Blast, Women: Durham vs Yorkshire Jun 09 $5 −$1 -17%
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia Jun 09 $12 −$3 -24%
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: China vs Saudi Arabia Jun 09 $15 +$1 +5%
T20 Asian Games, Qualifier: Nepal vs Hong Kong, China Jun 08 $15 +$7 +43%
T20 Blast, Women: Somerset vs Warwickshire Jun 08 $6 +$4 +64%
T20 Blast: Lancashire vs Glamorgan Jun 07 $3 −$3 -100%
T20 Blast: Somerset vs Warwickshire Jun 07 $24 +$11 +46%
T20 Blast: Middlesex vs Essex Jun 07 $2 +$2 +120%
T20 Blast: Leicestershire vs Yorkshire Jun 07 $4 $0 +7%
T20 Blast, Women: The Blaze vs Lancashire Thunder Jun 07 $6 −$4 -66%
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Oman vs Philippines Jun 07 $5 +$1 +23%
Will England win? Jun 07 $2 +$2 +121%
T20 Asian Games, Qualifier: Hong Kong, China vs Malaysia Jun 07 $1 −$1 -55%
ICC Cricket World Cup League Two: Canada vs USA Jun 07 $3 +$1 +37%
T20 Blast: Durham vs Northamptonshire Jun 06 $2 +$1 +70%
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Nepal vs Hong Kong, China Jun 06 $2 +$3 +146%
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Bahrain vs Mongolia Jun 06 $6 +$1 +22%
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Japan vs Myanmar Jun 06 $2 +$2 +90%
T20 Blast: Surrey vs Hampshire Jun 06 $1 −$1 -100%
T20 Blast: Worcestershire vs Glamorgan Jun 06 $1 −$1 -100%
T20 Asian Games, Qualifier: Oman vs Hong Kong, China Jun 05 $4 −$1 -24%
T20 Asian Games, Qualifier: Bahrain vs Singapore Jun 05 $8 −$3 -42%
T20 Blast: Somerset vs Glamorgan Jun 05 $2 −$2 -100%
Will New Zealand win? Jun 04 $1 +$1 +58%
ODI Series West Indies vs Sri Lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka Jun 04 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 99% −$10
other 1% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Kwibuka T20 Tournament, Women: Rwanda vs Nigeria SELL Nigeria 2¢ $0 2h
Kwibuka T20 Tournament, Women: Rwanda vs Nigeria BUY Nigeria 45¢ $2 3h
Kwibuka T20 Tournament, Women: Rwanda vs Nigeria BUY Nigeria 42¢ $2 4h
Kwibuka T20 Tournament, Women: Rwanda vs Nigeria SELL Rwanda 63¢ $8 4h
Kwibuka T20 Tournament, Women: Rwanda vs Nigeria BUY Rwanda 69¢ $1 4h
Kwibuka T20 Tournament, Women: Rwanda vs Nigeria BUY Rwanda 86¢ $10 5h
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Hong Kong, China vs United Arab Emirates SELL Hong Kong, China 1¢ $0 6h
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Hong Kong, China vs United Arab Emirates BUY Hong Kong, China 17¢ $2 7h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Sri Lanka BUY Sri Lanka 13¢ $1 7h
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka SELL West Indies 99¢ $7 9h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Sri Lanka BUY Sri Lanka 14¢ $1 9h
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka SELL Sri Lanka 2¢ $0 9h
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka SELL Sri Lanka 1¢ $0 9h
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka SELL Sri Lanka 2¢ $1 9h
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka BUY Sri Lanka 3¢ $1 10h
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka BUY Sri Lanka 4¢ $1 10h
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka BUY Sri Lanka 6¢ $1 10h
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka BUY Sri Lanka 10¢ $1 10h
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka BUY Sri Lanka 13¢ $1 10h
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka BUY Sri Lanka 17¢ $2 10h
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka BUY Sri Lanka 27¢ $1 11h
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka BUY West Indies 65¢ $1 11h
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka SELL Sri Lanka 29¢ $3 11h
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka BUY West Indies 71¢ $1 11h
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka BUY Sri Lanka 23¢ $1 11h
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka BUY West Indies 68¢ $1 11h
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka BUY West Indies 69¢ $1 12h
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka BUY Sri Lanka 37¢ $1 12h
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka BUY Sri Lanka 40¢ $1 12h
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka BUY Sri Lanka 40¢ $1 12h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-8.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 30 +8.7% -1.6% 57% 47% -9.1%
≤30d 35 +1.5% -8.1% 51% 43% -11.8%
≤90d 35 +1.5% -8.1% 51% 43% -11.8%
all 35 +1.5% -8.1% 51% 43% -11.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover13.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.1% 43% -11.8%
10% -16.9% 37% -20.2%
15% -25.0% 34% -27.9%
20% -32.3% 26% -35.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.71 · official $1.71 (match) · 140 history records