Wallet analysis

2026-06-22T12:37:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
10 0x105c…f7ef crypto 1842 markets active 0h ago coverage 5d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (388 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$115 (+1%) realized +$115 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR73%break-even
Win rate73%1351W / 491L
Drawdown79%max
Avg bet$9per market
Trades / day388.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 5d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$214
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (388 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +73%
net ROI/market (all)-9.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1842 +0.1% -9.5% 73% 73% -8.3%
≤30d 1842 +0.1% -9.5% 73% 73% -8.3%
≤90d 1842 +0.1% -9.5% 73% 73% -8.3%
all 1842 +0.1% -9.5% 73% 73% -8.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover388.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.5% 73% -8.3%
10% ← realistic here -18.1% 50% -17.1%
15% -26.0% 28% -25.1%
20% -33.3% 15% -32.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt +1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +1% → late -1% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$8 · ×0.38 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.05 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

5d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$115
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)73%
Wins / losses1351 / 491
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1842 / 1842
History coverage5d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day388.0
Drawdown79%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1842 Trades
no open positions (330 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 22 $26 +$15 +60%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 22 $26 +$13 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 22 $25 −$25 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 22 $25 +$6 +23%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 22 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 22 $25 +$5 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 22 $25 −$25 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 22 $25 −$25 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 22 $26 −$26 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 22 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 22 $26 +$17 +65%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 22 $25 +$4 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 22 $25 +$5 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 22 $25 +$9 +34%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 22 $25 +$4 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 22 $25 −$25 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 22 $26 +$21 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 22 $25 +$5 +19%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 22 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 22 $25 +$7 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 22 $25 +$4 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 22 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 22 $25 −$25 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 22 $26 +$13 +49%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 22 $25 +$4 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 22 $26 +$12 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 22 $26 +$17 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 22 $26 +$17 +65%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 22 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 22 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 22 $25 +$4 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 22 $25 +$5 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 22 $25 +$6 +24%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 22 $25 +$4 +14%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 22 $25 +$4 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 22 $22 +$4 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 22 $25 +$4 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 22 $25 +$9 +34%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 22 $10 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 22 $25 +$6 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 22 $26 +$13 +50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 22 $26 +$14 +55%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 22 $25 +$7 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 22 $25 +$8 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 22 $25 +$5 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 22 $25 +$7 +27%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 22 $15 +$10 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 22 $15 −$15 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 22 $15 +$4 +27%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 22 $15 +$4 +26%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $26 3m
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $26 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $25 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $25 8m
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $26 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $25 28m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $26 33m
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $26 33m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $25 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $26 38m
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $25 38m
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $25 38m
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $25 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $25 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $25 53m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $26 53m
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $25 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $25 58m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $25 58m
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $25 58m
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $26 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $16 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $26 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $26 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $26 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $26 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3364 history records