trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤30d | 3 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 3 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 32 | -29.5% | -36.3% | 16% | 6% | -8.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -36.3% | 6% | -8.1% |
| 10% | -42.4% | 6% | -16.9% |
| 15% | -47.9% | 6% | -24.9% |
| 20% | -53.0% | 6% | -32.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $1,025 | $1,024 | −$1 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Jun 24 | $496 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Jun 24 | $531 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election? | Jun 23 | $1,033 | −$2 | -0% |
| UFC 322: Shevchenko vs. Weili (Women's Flyweight, Main Card) | Nov 14 | $11 | −$11 | -100% |
| Flames vs. Blues | Nov 11 | $9 | −$9 | -100% |
| Spread: BAL (-4.5) | Sep 22 | $7 | −$7 | -100% |
| Buccaneers vs. Texans | Sep 15 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| Will Hunor Kelemen win the Romanian presidential election? | Jul 15 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will XRP reach $4.0 in June? | Jul 15 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2025 World Series? | May 12 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Esteban Ocon be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | May 08 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Jaime Battiste be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party? | May 06 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series? | May 06 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Estonia win Eurovision 2025? | May 05 | $6 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Israel win Eurovision 2025? | Apr 30 | $5 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea? | Apr 27 | $4 | $0 | -3% |
| Will Hong Joon-pyo be elected the next president of South Korea? | Apr 27 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League? | Apr 17 | $4 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Apr 17 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister? | Apr 09 | $2 | $0 | -9% |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Apr 08 | $2 | $0 | -3% |
| Liverpool wins the Premier League? | Apr 07 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League? | Apr 03 | $8 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Apr 02 | $4 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Joe Burrow be the top Fantasy Quarterback? | Jan 08 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Panthers vs. Avalanche | Jan 08 | $115 | +$98 | +85% |
| Senators vs. Blues | Jan 05 | $103 | −$103 | -100% |
| Will Arsenal lead the EPL in points at midway point? | Jan 03 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Notre Dame vs. Georgia | Jan 03 | $113 | +$100 | +89% |
| Will there be 170,000,000-175,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. President | Jan 02 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Who will speak more at VP Debate? | Oct 02 | $9 | −$9 | -100% |
| 草莓软糖是男人还是女人 (man or woman)? | Oct 01 | $11 | $0 | -2% |