Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T17:44:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
10 0x1058…fd57 crypto 1117 markets active 1d ago coverage 11d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 11d only
✗ bot/MM pace (200 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$222 (-4%) realized −$222 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -11% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -32% what you keep after slip
Net edge-32%after slip
Net WR63%break-even
Win rate67%750W / 367L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$5per market
Trades / day200.2pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit98%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$18
7 days−$35
14 days−$186
30 days−$186
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 99% −$184
other 1% −$5
sports 0% +$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (200 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +63%
net ROI/market (all)-19.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 397 -5.2% -14.2% 57% 51% -12.5%
≤30d 1117 -11.2% -19.6% 67% 63% -12.8%
≤90d 1117 -11.2% -19.6% 67% 63% -12.8%
all 1117 -11.2% -19.6% 67% 63% -12.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover200.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.6% 63% -12.8%
10% ← realistic here -27.3% 26% -21.1%
15% -34.4% 16% -28.8%
20% -40.8% 15% -35.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
4% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -11% · $-wt -4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +5% → late -27% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
2.0 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$3 · ×0.4 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.81 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

11d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$222
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses750 / 367
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1117 / 1117
History coverage11d ⚠
Avg bet$5
Trades / day200.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1117 Trades
no open positions (2 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 16 $2 +$1 +33%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 16 $1 +$1 +68%
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$1 -98%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 16 $2 +$1 +60%
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +29%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +20%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 16 $1 +$1 +68%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +19%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 16 $1 +$1 +55%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 15 $2 +$1 +36%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 15 $2 +$1 +34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +55%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +28%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 15 $9 +$1 +11%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 15 $2 +$1 +36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +44%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$3 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +48%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +57%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$1 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$7 +188%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$1 -19%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$1 -41%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +60%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 31h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $2 32h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 32h
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $2 32h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $2 32h
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 17¢ $2 34h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $2 35h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 35h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $2 37h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 37h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $2 38h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 39h
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $2 42h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $2 43h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 43h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 45h
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $2 45h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 46h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $2 46h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $2 46h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 46h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $4 46h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $4 46h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $4 46h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 47h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $2 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $4 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records