Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:05:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

10
0x1052…2eef
sports · 46 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$8 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$8 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$8
Realized−$8
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)21%
Wins / losses9 / 33
Est. fees paid−$4
Open positions4
Markets (closed)42 / 46
History coverage71d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day1.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit76%
Chart Positions 4 History 42 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$26
7 days+$26
14 days+$26
30 days+$4
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $4 $5 +$0 (+7%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Yes 20¢ 20¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-15%)
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes 9¢ 4¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-58%)
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Delhi Capitals Royal Challengers Bangalore 24¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Chennai Super Kings Chennai Super Kings 50¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Lucknow Super Giants Lucknow Super Giants 12¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Mumbai Indians Mumbai Indians 29¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Trump Insult Xi this week? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will AFC Unirea Slobozia win on 2026-05-11? Yes 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royals Gujarat Titans 33¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Lucknow Super Giants Lucknow Super Giants 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Lucknow Super Giants Lucknow Super Giants 14¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Punjab Kings Chennai Super Kings 5¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
OneFootball FDV above $20M one day after launch? No 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will FC Metaloglobus București win on 2026-05-11? Yes 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Mumbai Indians Mumbai Indians 24¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Mumbai Indians Gujarat Titans 19¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Francavilla: Gustavo Heide vs Facundo Acosta Gustavo Heide 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $14 +$28 +197%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $2 −$2 -97%
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Chennai Super Kings May 15 $19 −$19 -98%
Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026? May 15 $2 $0 +1%
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-18? May 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Will FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Köln end in a draw? May 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-05-14? May 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? May 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Will Trump Insult Xi this week? May 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit? May 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week? May 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Delhi Capitals May 12 $5 +$17 +325%
Will AFC Unirea Slobozia win on 2026-05-11? May 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Will FC Metaloglobus București win on 2026-05-11? May 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Lucknow Super Giants May 10 $1 −$1 -97%
Francavilla: Gustavo Heide vs Facundo Acosta May 10 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Apr 22 $4 −$4 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Apr 22 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Apr 22 $1 −$1 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Apr 22 $1 −$1 -100%
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Delhi Capitals Apr 21 $4 −$4 -98%
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Mumbai Indians Apr 20 $5 −$5 -98%
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Lucknow Super Giants Apr 19 $2 −$2 -97%
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Rajasthan Royals Apr 19 $10 +$11 +112%
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Delhi Capitals Apr 18 $8 −$2 -26%
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Kolkata Knight Riders Apr 17 $5 +$3 +64%
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Punjab Kings Apr 16 $1 −$1 -97%
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Lucknow Super Gi Apr 15 $7 −$7 -97%
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royals Apr 13 $10 −$2 -19%
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabad Apr 11 $5 +$10 +205%
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Royal Challengers Bangalore Apr 10 $6 $0 +4%
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Lucknow Super Giants Apr 09 $1 +$3 +253%
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Gujarat Titans Apr 08 $6 +$4 +62%
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Mumbai Indians Apr 07 $2 −$2 -98%
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Chennai Super Ki Apr 05 $6 −$1 -16%
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Lucknow Super Giants Apr 05 $2 −$2 -97%
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royals Apr 04 $5 −$5 -98%
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Mumbai Indians Apr 04 $17 −$1 -3%
OneFootball FDV above $20M one day after launch? Apr 04 $1 −$1 -93%
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Punjab Kings Apr 03 $5 −$2 -39%
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Sunrisers Hyderabad Apr 02 $10 −$7 -68%
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? Apr 02 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 77% −$17
other 16% +$20
crypto 4% −$7
politics 2% −$2
world 1% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 20¢ $2 1h
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 2¢ $2 1h
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 2¢ $2 4h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 33¢ $14 15h
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 11¢ $2 23h
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 2d
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Chennai Super Kings BUY Chennai Super Kings 50¢ $19 28d
Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026? SELL Yes 16¢ $2 28d
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-18? BUY Yes 3¢ $1 28d
Will FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Köln end in a draw? BUY Yes 10¢ $1 29d
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-05-14? BUY Yes 7¢ $1 29d
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 30d
Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026? BUY Yes 15¢ $2 30d
Will Trump Insult Xi this week? BUY Yes 3¢ $1 31d
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 31d
Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week? BUY Yes 8¢ $1 31d
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? BUY Yes 9¢ $1 31d
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Delhi Capitals BUY Delhi Capitals 23¢ $5 32d
Will AFC Unirea Slobozia win on 2026-05-11? BUY Yes 7¢ $1 32d
Will FC Metaloglobus București win on 2026-05-11? BUY Yes 12¢ $1 32d
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Lucknow Super Giants BUY Lucknow Super Giants 6¢ $1 33d
Francavilla: Gustavo Heide vs Facundo Acosta BUY Gustavo Heide 2¢ $1 33d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 6¢ $4 51d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $1 51d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 4¢ $1 51d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 51d
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Delhi Capitals BUY Delhi Capitals 19¢ $4 52d
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Mumbai Indians BUY Gujarat Titans 19¢ $5 53d
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Lucknow Super Giants BUY Lucknow Super Giants 12¢ $2 54d
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Rajasthan Royals SELL Kolkata Knight Riders 33¢ $4 54d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +17%
net ROI/market (all)-52.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 +48.5% +34.4% 50% 50% +135.3%
≤30d 7 -43.1% -48.5% 29% 14% -1.2%
≤90d 42 -47.4% -52.4% 21% 17% -14.6%
all 42 -47.4% -52.4% 21% 17% -14.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.1 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -52.4% 17% -14.6%
10% -56.9% 17% -22.8%
15% -61.1% 17% -30.3%
20% -64.9% 17% -37.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $7.91 · official $7.91 (match) · 79 history records