Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:09:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

10
0x1048…a535
other · 183 markets active 1h ago
1.5score
+$24 +10%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$24 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$24
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)30%
Wins / losses54 / 129
Open positions0
Markets (closed)183 / 183
History coverage204d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day1.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit1%
Chart Positions 0 History 183 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days−$1
14 days−$1
30 days−$3
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Real Oviedo win on 2025-12-14? Yes 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-01-07? Yes 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-07? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-02-08? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-01-25? Yes 7¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2025-12-30? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-09? Yes 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-01-10? Yes 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-18? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-11? Yes 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-13? Yes 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-09? Yes 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will PSV win on 2025-12-09? Yes 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-10? Yes 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Qairat FK win on 2025-12-09? Yes 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-22? Yes 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Sporting CP win on 2025-12-09? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-12-14? Yes 37¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-02-09? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-01-23? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will SS Lazio win on 2025-12-07? Yes 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-12-14? Yes 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will West Ham win on 2025-11-30? Yes 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-01-07? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $1 $0 -39%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 10 $1 −$1 -97%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-14? May 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-05-14? May 14 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-13? May 13 $1 +$1 +113%
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-05-13? May 13 $1 +$2 +179%
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-13? May 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-18? Mar 19 $1 $0 +41%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18? Mar 19 $1 +$1 +56%
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-18? Mar 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18? Mar 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-17? Mar 18 $1 $0 +18%
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17? Mar 18 $1 $0 +45%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-17? Mar 18 $1 $0 +45%
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11? Mar 11 $1 +$3 +271%
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-03-11? Mar 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-11? Mar 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-11? Mar 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-10? Mar 10 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-03-10? Mar 10 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-10? Mar 10 $1 +$1 +122%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10? Mar 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-03-07? Mar 07 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-25? Feb 25 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-02-18? Feb 18 $1 −$1 -85%
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-02-18? Feb 18 $1 −$1 -84%
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-18? Feb 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-18? Feb 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-17? Feb 18 $1 +$6 +614%
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-02-17? Feb 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-02-17? Feb 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-02-17? Feb 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-02-09? Feb 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-02-09? Feb 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-02-08? Feb 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Everton FC win on 2026-02-07? Feb 07 $2 +$18 +900%
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-02-07? Feb 07 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-01-25? Jan 25 $3 −$3 -90%
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-25? Jan 25 $2 −$2 -86%
Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-01-25? Jan 25 $1 +$2 +165%
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-01-25? Jan 25 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-01-24? Jan 24 $1 $0 -7%
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-01-24? Jan 24 $2 +$3 +164%
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-01-24? Jan 24 $2 −$2 -88%
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-01-24? Jan 24 $2 +$2 +119%
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-01-24? Jan 24 $1 +$1 +120%
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-01-24? Jan 24 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Elche CF win on 2026-01-23? Jan 23 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Pisa SC win on 2026-01-23? Jan 23 $4 −$4 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 99% +$26
world 0% −$1
sports 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 9¢ $1 1h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 14¢ $1 1h
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 11¢ $1 3d
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? BUY Yes 33¢ $1 14d
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-14? BUY Yes 25¢ $1 30d
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-05-14? BUY Yes 43¢ $1 30d
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-13? SELL Yes 100¢ $2 31d
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-05-13? SELL Yes 100¢ $3 31d
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-05-13? BUY Yes 35¢ $1 31d
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-13? BUY Yes 47¢ $1 31d
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-13? BUY Yes 46¢ $1 31d
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-18? BUY Yes 10¢ $1 87d
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18? BUY Yes 64¢ $1 87d
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18? BUY Yes 36¢ $1 87d
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-18? BUY Yes 71¢ $1 87d
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-17? BUY Yes 85¢ $1 88d
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17? BUY Yes 69¢ $1 88d
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-17? BUY Yes 69¢ $1 88d
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $4 94d
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-03-11? BUY Yes 33¢ $1 94d
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-11? BUY Yes 27¢ $1 94d
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11? BUY Yes 27¢ $1 94d
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-11? BUY Yes 15¢ $1 94d
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-10? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 95d
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-03-10? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 95d
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-10? SELL Yes 100¢ $2 95d
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-03-10? BUY Yes 19¢ $1 95d
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10? BUY Yes 41¢ $1 95d
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-10? BUY Yes 18¢ $1 95d
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-10? BUY Yes 45¢ $1 95d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-4.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 -69.5% -72.4% 0% 0% -72.1%
≤30d 3 -79.7% -81.6% 0% 0% -83.2%
≤90d 15 -16.1% -24.1% 47% 47% -25.6%
all 183 +5.2% -4.8% 30% 30% +0.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.2 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -4.8% 30% +0.1%
10% -13.9% 29% -9.5%
15% -22.2% 28% -18.3%
20% -29.9% 26% -26.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 275 history records