Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:47:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

10
0x103d…b34e
crypto · 649 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$492 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$492 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$492
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)21%
Wins / losses135 / 514
Open positions0
Markets (closed)649 / 649
History coverage23d
Avg bet$28
Trades / day116.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 0 History 649 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$370
7 days−$536
14 days−$912
30 days−$492
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $47 $0 −$47 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$5 +326%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$4 +456%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$5 +490%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -94%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$481
other 0% −$11
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $1 38m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 4¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 4¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 4¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 4¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 6¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 6¢ $0 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 6¢ $0 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 6¢ $0 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 6¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $0 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $0 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $0 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $0 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $0 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +18%
net ROI/market (all)-41.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 422 -46.7% -51.8% 10% 8% -56.7%
≤30d 649 -35.5% -41.7% 21% 18% -12.7%
≤90d 649 -35.5% -41.7% 21% 18% -12.7%
all 649 -35.5% -41.7% 21% 18% -12.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover116.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -41.7% 18% -12.7%
10% ← realistic here -47.3% 17% -21.1%
15% -52.4% 15% -28.7%
20% -57.0% 12% -35.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2795 history records