Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T10:04:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

10
0x1025…fbfa
sports · 836 markets active 0h ago
1.5score
+$1,853 +6%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2,149 · open −$296
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$938
Realized+$2,149
Unrealized−$296
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses474 / 341
Est. fees paid−$408
Open positions21
Markets (closed)815 / 836
History coverage108d
Avg bet$39
Trades / day15.3
Drawdown78%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 21 History 815 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$316
7 days−$1,243
14 days−$3,096
30 days+$1,198
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm Golden State Valkyries 77¢ 100¢ $121 $158 +$37 (+31%)
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Under 60¢ 100¢ $70 $116 +$46 (+65%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Gen.G 69¢ 100¢ $56 $82 +$26 (+45%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner Gen.G 87¢ 100¢ $60 $69 +$9 (+15%)
ITF Casablanca: Emma Lene vs Aran Teixido Garcia Emma Lene 57¢ 86¢ $44 $66 +$22 (+50%)
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) B8 51¢ 100¢ $30 $58 +$28 (+93%)
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5) Gen.G 59¢ 100¢ $30 $51 +$21 (+69%)
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Kiwoom Heroes Hanwha Eagles 58¢ 52¢ $49 $44 −$6 (-11%)
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Samsung Lions SSG Landers 90¢ 82¢ $46 $42 −$4 (-9%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Natus Vincere 55¢ 46¢ $49 $41 −$9 (-17%)
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Bilibili Gaming 59¢ 48¢ $42 $34 −$8 (-19%)
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-7.5) Seattle Storm 61¢ 100¢ $20 $33 +$13 (+64%)
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 156.5 Under 50¢ 100¢ $14 $28 +$14 (+101%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 60¢ 55¢ $30 $27 −$3 (-9%)
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 158.5 Under 59¢ 100¢ $14 $24 +$10 (+70%)
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Kia Tigers Doosan Bears 52¢ 40¢ $27 $21 −$6 (-23%)
Games Total: O/U 4.5 Under 86¢ 100¢ $16 $19 +$3 (+16%)
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5) Gen.G 86¢ 100¢ $15 $17 +$2 (+17%)
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5) TheMongolz 73¢ 100¢ $4 $5 +$1 (+36%)
ITF kiseljak: Yaroslav Demin vs Andrey Chepelev Yaroslav Demin 27¢ 15¢ $4 $2 −$2 (-45%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner Natus Vincere 69¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-99%)
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm Seattle Storm 25¢ 0¢ $85 $0 −$85 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner KT Rolster 21¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Over 71¢ 0¢ $104 $0 −$104 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner KT Rolster 34¢ 0¢ $48 $0 −$48 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Set 1 Winner: Demin vs Chepelev Jun 13 $55 +$18 +33%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $166 −$43 -26%
ITF Wuning: Yujia Huang vs Sara Saito Jun 13 $76 +$50 +66%
Spread: New York Mets (-3.5) Jun 13 $13 +$3 +20%
Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5) Jun 13 $14 −$13 -99%
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5) Jun 13 $30 −$30 -99%
Toronto Argonauts vs. Montreal Alouettes Jun 13 $24 −$7 -30%
Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics Jun 13 $124 +$121 +98%
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-4.5) Jun 13 $17 +$9 +52%
Spread: Washington Mystics (-2.5) Jun 12 $30 −$30 -98%
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B Jun 12 $100 −$18 -18%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $120 −$29 -24%
ITF Cuiaba: Noelia Zeballos vs Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez Jun 12 $75 −$74 -99%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D Jun 12 $176 +$4 +2%
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl Jun 12 $188 −$64 -34%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $188 +$252 +134%
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group Jun 12 $43 +$5 +11%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St Jun 12 $36 +$16 +45%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $42 −$42 -100%
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pla Jun 12 $125 −$13 -11%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $76 +$20 +26%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $152 +$134 +88%
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) Jun 12 $15 −$14 -99%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $55 +$15 +27%
Games Total: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $48 −$6 -12%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $61 +$20 +33%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $237 +$32 +14%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $151 −$2 -1%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $91 +$3 +4%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $51 −$50 -99%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Jun 12 $23 +$17 +75%
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5) Jun 12 $47 −$46 -99%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $60 −$60 -99%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $18 −$18 -98%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $30 −$30 -99%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali Jun 12 $121 +$5 +4%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $123 −$27 -22%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Jun 11 $82 +$8 +10%
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs HMBLE (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A Jun 11 $85 +$19 +22%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Forsaken (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B Jun 11 $106 −$21 -20%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $153 −$21 -14%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 11 $77 +$22 +28%
LoL: Misa Esports vs UCAM Esports Club (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A Jun 11 $134 −$16 -12%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $71 +$35 +50%
LoL: BOMBA Team vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D Jun 11 $19 +$9 +46%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $54 +$14 +25%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $31 +$90 +293%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $30 +$28 +93%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $60 +$25 +41%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $60 +$16 +27%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 99% +$1,899
crypto 1% −$40
other 0% −$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY TheMongolz 60¢ $30 1m
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 59¢ $12 16m
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 59¢ $30 16m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Natus Vincere 55¢ $30 26m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Natus Vincere 55¢ $21 26m
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Kiwoom Heroes BUY Hanwha Eagles 53¢ $21 26m
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5) BUY TheMongolz 73¢ $4 37m
ITF Casablanca: Emma Lene vs Aran Teixido Garcia BUY Emma Lene 70¢ $15 41m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 69¢ $30 47m
ITF Casablanca: Emma Lene vs Aran Teixido Garcia BUY Emma Lene 52¢ $30 52m
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) BUY B8 51¢ $30 52m
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Kiwoom Heroes BUY Hanwha Eagles 63¢ $29 1h
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Samsung Lions BUY SSG Landers 90¢ $16 1h
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Samsung Lions BUY SSG Landers 90¢ $30 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY KT Rolster 34¢ $18 1h
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Kia Tigers BUY Doosan Bears 52¢ $28 1h
ITF kiseljak: Yaroslav Demin vs Andrey Chepelev BUY Yaroslav Demin 27¢ $4 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 67¢ $27 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY KT Rolster 34¢ $31 1h
Set 1 Winner: Demin vs Chepelev BUY Chepelev 83¢ $26 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 70¢ $30 1h
Set 1 Winner: Demin vs Chepelev BUY Chepelev 68¢ $29 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner BUY Gen.G 87¢ $30 2h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner BUY Gen.G 87¢ $30 2h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner BUY KT Rolster 18¢ $31 2h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner BUY KT Rolster 25¢ $31 2h
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 64¢ $29 2h
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 60¢ $12 3h
ITF Wuning: Yujia Huang vs Sara Saito BUY Yujia Huang 61¢ $29 3h
ITF Wuning: Yujia Huang vs Sara Saito BUY Yujia Huang 61¢ $30 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-10.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 199 -28.1% -34.9% 41% 37% -20.1%
≤30d 415 +2.2% -7.6% 59% 57% -4.5%
≤90d 683 -2.5% -11.8% 57% 55% -3.2%
all 815 -1.1% -10.5% 58% 53% -3.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover15.3 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.5% 53% -3.3%
10% -19.1% 48% -12.6%
15% -26.9% 38% -21.0%
20% -34.1% 29% -28.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $938.25 · official $938.26 (match) · 2458 history records