Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T22:38:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

10
0x101d…cad2
other · 67 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$2,060 -52%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,961 · open −$99
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$10
Realized−$1,961
Unrealized−$99
Win rate (resolved)3%
Wins / losses2 / 62
Est. fees paid−$69
Open positions3
Markets (closed)64 / 67
History coverage1d
Avg bet$59
Trades / day551.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit40%
Chart Positions 3 History 64 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,961
7 days−$1,961
14 days−$1,961
30 days−$1,961
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Owen Goodman: 2+ saves Yes 1¢ 3¢ $3 $9 +$6 (+205%)
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? No 42¢ 0¢ $105 $0 −$105 (-100%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-50%)
Esmir Bajraktarević: 2+ goals Yes 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Tani Oluwaseyi: 1+ goals Yes 1¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total Corners Under 64¢ 0¢ $285 $0 −$285 (-100%)
Benjamin Tahirović: 1+ goals + assists Yes 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Tajon Buchanan: 1+ goals Yes 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 1.5 Over 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Alphonso Davies: 1+ assists Yes 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bosnia-Herzegovina leading at halftime? No 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Alphonso Davies: 2+ shots Yes 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Marcelo Flores: 2+ goals Yes 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Cyle Larin: 1+ goals No 24¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Spread: Canada (-2.5) Canada 0¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ermin Mahmić: 3+ goals Yes 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Marcelo Flores: 1+ goals Yes 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Jovo Lukić: 1+ goals No 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada 1st Half O/U 0.5 Over 4¢ 0¢ $47 $0 −$47 (-100%)
Jonathan David: 2+ goals Yes 4¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Mathieu Choinière: 1+ shots on target Yes 3¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Alphonso Davies: 1+ goals + assists Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Edin Džeko: 1+ goals Yes 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Under 46¢ 0¢ $225 $0 −$225 (-100%)
Ismaël Koné: 1+ assists Yes 9¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Benjamin Tahirović: 1+ goals + assists Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Tarik Muharemović: 1+ goals + assists Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 5.5 Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Alphonso Davies: 1+ goals + assists Jun 12 $0 $0 -97%
Alphonso Davies: 1+ shots on target Jun 12 $24 −$1 -4%
Alphonso Davies: 2+ shots on target Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $2 −$2 -99%
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-2.5) Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5) Jun 12 $49 −$49 -99%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada 2nd Half O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $19 −$8 -42%
Ermin Mahmić: 3+ shots on target Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Edin Džeko: 3+ shots on target Jun 12 $7 −$7 -99%
Mathieu Choinière: 1+ shots on target Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Luc De Fougerolles: 1+ assists Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Spread: Canada (-2.5) Jun 12 $6 −$6 -98%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $49 −$48 -98%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score in Second Half Jun 12 $0 $0 -97%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $499 −$79 -16%
Promise David: 2+ goals Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Owen Goodman: 4+ saves Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $3 +$1 +48%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $228 −$17 -7%
Jonathan David: 2+ goals Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Ismaël Koné: 1+ goals Jun 12 $44 −$44 -100%
Tajon Buchanan: 1+ goals Jun 12 $0 $0 -97%
Cyle Larin: 1+ goals Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
Tani Oluwaseyi: 1+ goals Jun 12 $4 −$3 -71%
Alphonso Davies: 1+ goals Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Esmir Bajraktarević: 1+ goals Jun 12 $0 $0 -98%
Ismaël Koné: 1+ assists Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Tajon Buchanan: 2+ goals Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $38 −$33 -87%
Canada leading at halftime? Jun 12 $299 −$297 -99%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Draw at halftime? Jun 12 $245 −$116 -47%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $47 −$47 -100%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: O/U 13.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $111 −$57 -52%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Edin Džeko: 1+ goals Jun 12 $84 −$1 -1%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $161 −$46 -28%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score in First Half Jun 12 $114 −$104 -92%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $18 −$18 -97%
Edin Džeko: 4+ shots Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Alphonso Davies: 1+ assists Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Jonathan David: 1+ goals Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Alphonso Davies: 2+ shots Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Liam Millar: 1+ goals Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Esmir Bajraktarević: 2+ goals Jun 12 $113 −$2 -2%
Tani Oluwaseyi: 2+ goals Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $2 $0 -17%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 80% −$1,619
other 20% −$441
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Benjamin Tahirović: 1+ goals + assists BUY Yes 1¢ $0 1h
Tarik Muharemović: 1+ goals + assists BUY Yes 1¢ $0 1h
Owen Goodman: 2+ saves BUY Yes 1¢ $1 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 5.5 BUY Over 0¢ $0 1h
Alphonso Davies: 1+ goals + assists BUY Yes 0¢ $0 1h
Owen Goodman: 2+ saves BUY Yes 1¢ $1 1h
Alphonso Davies: 1+ shots on target BUY Yes 1¢ $1 1h
Alphonso Davies: 2+ shots on target BUY Yes 0¢ $0 1h
Alphonso Davies: 2+ shots on target BUY Yes 0¢ $0 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 2.5 BUY Over 0¢ $0 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 2.5 BUY Over 0¢ $0 1h
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-2.5) BUY Bosnia and Herzegovina 0¢ $0 1h
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5) BUY Bosnia and Herzegovina 0¢ $0 1h
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5) BUY Bosnia and Herzegovina 0¢ $0 1h
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5) BUY Bosnia and Herzegovina 0¢ $0 1h
Ermin Mahmić: 3+ shots on target BUY Yes 1¢ $2 1h
Alphonso Davies: 2+ shots on target BUY Yes 1¢ $0 1h
Alphonso Davies: 1+ goals + assists BUY Yes 0¢ $0 1h
Owen Goodman: 2+ saves BUY Yes 1¢ $1 1h
Edin Džeko: 3+ shots on target BUY Yes 2¢ $1 1h
Mathieu Choinière: 1+ shots on target BUY Yes 3¢ $9 1h
Edin Džeko: 3+ shots on target BUY Yes 3¢ $3 1h
Edin Džeko: 3+ shots on target BUY Yes 1¢ $2 1h
Edin Džeko: 3+ shots on target BUY Yes 1¢ $1 1h
Luc De Fougerolles: 1+ assists BUY Yes 0¢ $0 1h
Luc De Fougerolles: 1+ assists BUY Yes 0¢ $0 1h
Luc De Fougerolles: 1+ assists BUY Yes 0¢ $0 1h
Luc De Fougerolles: 1+ assists BUY Yes 0¢ $0 1h
Mathieu Choinière: 1+ shots on target BUY Yes 5¢ $7 1h
Luc De Fougerolles: 1+ assists BUY Yes 0¢ $0 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-92.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 64 -91.5% -92.3% 3% 2% -85.8%
≤30d 64 -91.5% -92.3% 3% 2% -85.8%
≤90d 64 -91.5% -92.3% 3% 2% -85.8%
all 64 -91.5% -92.3% 3% 2% -85.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover551.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -92.3% 2% -85.8%
10% ← realistic here -93.0% 2% -87.1%
15% -93.7% 2% -88.4%
20% -94.3% 0% -89.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $9.71 · official $9.71 (match) · 552 history records