Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T09:16:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

10
0x1019…1a55
crypto · 97 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$284 -23%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$282 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$52
Realized−$282
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses35 / 57
Est. fees paid−$7
Open positions5
Markets (closed)92 / 97
Avg bet$12
Trades / day11.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 5 History 92 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$10
7 days−$29
14 days−$248
30 days−$282
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 60¢ 60¢ $30 $30 −$0 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Team Falcons 68¢ 68¢ $15 $15 −$0 (-1%)
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? Yes 26¢ 26¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-2%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 48¢ 48¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Team Falcons 16¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 9z (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Astralis 6¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: B8 Academy vs ReThink (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffs B8 Academy 98¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-05-23? Yes 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +140%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $3 +$5 +165%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$15 +240%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $19 +$10 +52%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $15 −$7 -43%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $18 −$11 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -95%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 08 $15 +$8 +55%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $58 −$51 -88%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $1 −$1 -97%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $8 −$8 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 08 $6 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 08 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 08 $1 +$1 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 08 $7 −$7 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 08 $16 +$17 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 08 $6 −$6 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 08 $5 $0 -3%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $40 +$4 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 07 $11 −$11 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 07 $5 −$5 -96%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $5 +$8 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 07 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 07 $5 +$5 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 07 $5 +$4 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 07 $5 +$5 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 07 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 07 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 07 $5 +$9 +173%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 07 $7 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 07 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 07 $10 −$5 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 07 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 07 $27 −$3 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 07 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 07 $11 −$5 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 07 $6 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 07 $11 +$30 +281%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 07 $22 −$11 -51%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 52% −$82
crypto 27% −$31
other 21% −$171
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $1 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 14¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 48¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET SELL Up 1¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET SELL Down 35¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 3h
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 26¢ $5 3h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 60¢ $30 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET SELL Up 61¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET SELL Up 11¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 8¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $5 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-27.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 65 -12.6% -20.9% 40% 35% -13.1%
≤30d 92 -20.0% -27.6% 38% 34% -32.0%
≤90d 92 -20.0% -27.6% 38% 34% -32.0%
all 92 -20.0% -27.6% 38% 34% -32.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover11.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -27.6% 34% -32.0%
10% -34.5% 30% -38.5%
15% -40.9% 25% -44.5%
20% -46.7% 23% -49.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $51.52 · official $51.52 (match) · 262 history records