trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -1.7% | -11.1% | 67% | 33% | -34.2% |
| ≤30d | 6 | +32.4% | +19.8% | 83% | 67% | +14.0% |
| ≤90d | 6 | +32.4% | +19.8% | 83% | 67% | +14.0% |
| all | 23 | -43.3% | -48.7% | 30% | 26% | -38.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -48.7% | 26% | -38.0% |
| 10% | -53.6% | 26% | -43.9% |
| 15% | -58.1% | 22% | -49.3% |
| 20% | -62.2% | 13% | -54.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Senegal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 32¢ | 30¢ | $500 | $475 | −$25 (-5%) |
| Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany O/U 2.5 | Under | 66¢ | 70¢ | $200 | $214 | +$14 (+7%) |
| Will New Zealand finish last in Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage? | Yes | 51¢ | 90¢ | $98 | $170 | +$73 (+75%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 24 | $309 | +$31 | +10% |
| Argentina vs. Austria: Austria O/U 0.5 | Jun 23 | $591 | −$349 | -59% |
| Will Ousmane Dembélé score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 23 | $101 | +$44 | +44% |
| UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main | Jun 15 | $86 | +$23 | +27% |
| Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 | Jun 14 | $101 | +$87 | +86% |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Jun 01 | $784 | +$675 | +86% |
| Champions League Quarterfinals: Bayern vs. Inter Milan | Apr 17 | $560 | +$223 | +40% |
| Will Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League? | Feb 21 | $430 | −$430 | -100% |
| Will Bayer Leverkusen win the UEFA Champions League? | Feb 21 | $104 | −$104 | -100% |
| Will Real Madrid win the UEFA Champions League? | Feb 21 | $650 | −$650 | -100% |
| Will Liverpool win the UEFA Champions League? | Feb 21 | $502 | −$502 | -100% |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the UEFA Champions League? | Feb 21 | $134 | −$134 | -100% |
| Was Milei hacked? | Feb 15 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will another person win the 2024 World Blitz Championship? | Jan 01 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2024 World Blitz Championship? | Jan 01 | $90 | −$10 | -11% |
| Will Daniel Naroditsky win the 2024 World Rapid Championship? | Jan 01 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2024 World Rapid Championship? | Jan 01 | $25 | −$25 | -100% |
| Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2024 World Blitz Championship? | Jan 01 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Will LA Galaxy win the MLS Cup? | Nov 09 | $42 | $0 | +0% |
| Will a Republican win Wisconsin Presidential Election? | Nov 07 | $500 | −$426 | -85% |
| Will a Democrat win Wisconsin Presidential Election? | Nov 07 | $580 | −$502 | -87% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Nov 07 | $101 | +$51 | +50% |
| Argentina Presidential Election: Will Javier Milei win? | Nov 19 | $1,196 | −$109 | -9% |