Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T09:18:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0F
0x0ffc…8236
sports · 84 markets active 1h ago
4.0score
+$100,963 +44%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$94,514 · open +$5,630
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$62,904
Realized+$94,514
Unrealized+$5,630
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses32 / 25
Whale WR (big bets)67%
Est. fees paid−$1,376
Open positions27
Markets (closed)57 / 84
Avg bet$2,728
Trades / day43.8
Drawdown8%
Kalshi-fit80%
Chart Positions 27 History 57 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$10,741
7 days+$10,911
14 days+$10,911
30 days+$4,232
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? No 67¢ 80¢ $13,113 $15,678 +$2,565 (+20%)
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? Yes 93¢ 92¢ $11,010 $10,970 −$41 (-0%)
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? No 95¢ 98¢ $10,396 $10,818 +$422 (+4%)
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? No 39¢ 53¢ $5,485 $7,544 +$2,060 (+38%)
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after June 2026 meeting? Yes 88¢ 97¢ $4,855 $5,352 +$497 (+10%)
Bank of England rate hike in 2026? Yes 77¢ 70¢ $2,644 $2,435 −$210 (-8%)
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026? No 85¢ 92¢ $2,141 $2,300 +$159 (+7%)
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? Yes 85¢ 78¢ $2,135 $1,962 −$172 (-8%)
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? Yes 31¢ 65¢ $849 $1,796 +$947 (+112%)
Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June? Yes 32¢ 38¢ $1,168 $1,361 +$193 (+17%)
Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June? Yes 10¢ 17¢ $280 $504 +$224 (+80%)
Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June? Yes 35¢ 24¢ $647 $449 −$199 (-31%)
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? Yes 27¢ 20¢ $481 $349 −$132 (-27%)
Will Wes Streeting be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election? No 34¢ 53¢ $213 $330 +$117 (+55%)
Starmer out by December 31, 2026? No 27¢ 18¢ $473 $307 −$167 (-35%)
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $240 $240 +$0 (+0%)
Will annual inflation be 4.1% in June? No 81¢ 90¢ $126 $140 +$14 (+11%)
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? Yes 12¢ 3¢ $445 $97 −$348 (-78%)
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%? Yes 23¢ 28¢ $50 $61 +$11 (+22%)
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be at least 4.5%? No 67¢ 74¢ $53 $58 +$5 (+10%)
Will Al Carns be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? Yes 4¢ 3¢ $75 $53 −$22 (-30%)
Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? Yes 12¢ 3¢ $186 $41 −$145 (-78%)
Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? Yes 6¢ 2¢ $68 $25 −$44 (-64%)
Will Andy Burnham be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election? No 41¢ 5¢ $123 $16 −$107 (-87%)
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%? Yes 18¢ 22¢ $8 $10 +$2 (+25%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in May? Jun 11 $4 −$4 -100%
Will annual inflation be 4.4% or more in May? Jun 11 $2,366 −$2,321 -98%
Will annual inflation be 4.3% in May? Jun 11 $5,961 −$5,961 -100%
ECB rate hike in 2026? Jun 11 $619 +$4,878 +788%
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting? Jun 11 $18,786 +$4,543 +24%
Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the June meeting? Jun 10 $768 +$9 +1%
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in May? Jun 10 $104 +$88 +84%
Will annual inflation be 4.1% in May? Jun 10 $919 +$111 +12%
Will annual inflation be 4.2% in May? Jun 10 $5,133 +$8,592 +167%
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026? Jun 10 $26,422 +$807 +3%
Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in May? Jun 06 $330 +$170 +52%
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.7% in April? May 16 $868 −$868 -100%
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in April? May 16 $1,040 −$1,040 -100%
Will annual inflation increase by 3.7% in April? May 16 $4,771 −$4,771 -100%
Will annual inflation increase by ≤3.1% in April? May 12 $880 +$20 +2%
Will annual inflation increase by 4.0% in April? May 12 $12 +$1 +5%
Will annual inflation increase by 3.9% in April? May 12 $1,478 −$57 -4%
Will annual inflation increase by 3.6% in April? May 12 $5,273 −$175 -3%
Will annual inflation increase by ≥4.1% in April? May 12 $2,538 +$108 +4%
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in April? May 12 $1,610 +$2,416 +150%
Will annual inflation increase by 3.5% in April? May 12 $5,627 +$282 +5%
Will annual inflation increase by 3.8% in April? May 12 $4,012 +$9,282 +231%
Will inflation reach more than 3.5% in 2026? May 12 $24,608 +$3,024 +12%
Will Reform UK win at least 1600 council seat elections in the 2026 Un May 12 $6 +$4 +54%
Will the Labour Party win at least 600 council seat elections in the 2 May 12 $721 +$257 +36%
Will the Green Party win at least 600 council seat elections in the 20 May 12 $676 +$324 +48%
Will the Conservative Party win the second-most council seat elections May 11 $48 −$48 -100%
Will the Liberal Democrats win the second-most council seat elections May 11 $158 +$22 +14%
Will the Labour Party win the second-most council seat elections in th May 10 $4,551 −$18 -0%
Will the April 2026 unemployment rate be 4.1%? May 09 $4 −$4 -100%
Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in April? May 09 $41 −$41 -100%
Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in April? May 09 $46 +$112 +243%
Will the US lose more than 50k jobs in April? May 09 $166 +$29 +18%
Will the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in April? May 09 $47 −$47 -100%
Will the US add between 150k and 200k jobs in April? May 09 $33 −$33 -100%
Will the April 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%? May 09 $54 −$54 -100%
Will the April 2026 unemployment rate be 4.4%? May 09 $124 −$124 -100%
Will the US lose between 0 and 50k jobs in April? May 09 $516 +$84 +16%
Will the April 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%? May 09 $638 −$596 -93%
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%? Apr 30 $35 −$35 -100%
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%? Apr 30 $130 −$130 -100%
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%? Apr 30 $122 −$122 -100%
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%? Apr 30 $128 +$788 +616%
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting Apr 30 $4,446 +$3,533 +80%
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be less than 1.0%? Apr 30 $1,434 +$9,144 +638%
Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting? Apr 30 $5,988 +$7,407 +124%
Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the April meeting? Apr 29 $1,958 +$2,573 +131%
Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.6% in March? Apr 10 $2,332 +$2,540 +109%
Will annual inflation increase by ≥2.8% in March? Apr 10 $3,326 +$11,968 +360%
Will annual inflation increase by ≥3.4% in March? Apr 10 $4,630 −$2,875 -62%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 61% +$66,215
other 19% +$15,263
economics 11% +$17,612
politics 9% +$1,055
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June? BUY Yes 35¢ $7 1h
Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June? BUY Yes 32¢ $40 1h
Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June? BUY Yes 32¢ $40 1h
Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June? BUY Yes 32¢ $9 1h
Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June? BUY Yes 32¢ $2 1h
Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June? BUY Yes 32¢ $16 1h
Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June? BUY Yes 15¢ $65 7h
Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June? BUY Yes 35¢ $29 7h
Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June? BUY Yes 15¢ $4 8h
Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June? BUY Yes 15¢ $3 8h
Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June? BUY Yes 35¢ $1 8h
Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June? BUY Yes 15¢ $2 8h
Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June? BUY Yes 35¢ $4 8h
Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June? BUY Yes 35¢ $2 10h
Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June? BUY Yes 35¢ $5 10h
Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June? BUY Yes 35¢ $10 10h
Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June? BUY Yes 15¢ $1 11h
Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June? BUY Yes 35¢ $3 11h
Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June? BUY Yes 35¢ $5 11h
Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June? BUY Yes 35¢ $5 11h
Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June? BUY Yes 35¢ $2 11h
Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June? BUY Yes 35¢ $2 11h
Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June? BUY Yes 35¢ $2 11h
Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June? BUY Yes 35¢ $2 11h
Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June? BUY Yes 35¢ $2 11h
Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June? BUY Yes 35¢ $13 11h
Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June? BUY Yes 35¢ $17 11h
Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June? BUY Yes 15¢ $25 12h
Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June? BUY Yes 34¢ $91 12h
Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June? BUY Yes 11¢ $72 12h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)+36.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 11 +75.8% +59.0% 73% 55% +6.6%
≤30d 14 +38.1% +25.0% 57% 43% -3.9%
≤90d 57 +51.2% +36.8% 56% 46% +44.4%
all 57 +51.2% +36.8% 56% 46% +44.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover43.8 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +36.8% 46% +44.4%
10% +23.7% 37% +30.6%
15% ← realistic here +11.7% 35% +18.0%
20% +0.8% 32% +6.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $62,904.47 · official $62,905.31 (match) · 3500 history records