Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T09:18:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0F
0x0ff7…3a9d
crypto · 1525 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$4,060 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$4,060 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Chart Positions 0 History 1525 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$354
7 days−$1,693
14 days−$3,787
30 days−$4,152
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Down 25¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Up 83¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Down 80¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Up 73¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Up 18¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 61¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Up 85¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 47¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Down 72¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Down 36¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Up $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Up 38¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Up 25¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Up 83¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Up 27¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 32¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Down 32¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Down 73¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Up 78¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Down 41¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 75¢ $101 $0 −$101 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 75¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Down 93¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Up 78¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 90¢ $81 $0 −$81 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $104 +$53 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $37 +$88 +236%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $102 −$101 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $102 +$16 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $102 +$14 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $47 +$62 +132%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $128 −$126 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $128 +$44 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $98 +$34 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $103 −$101 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $101 +$22 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 12 $103 +$25 +25%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$4,060
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $157 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $103 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $125 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $37 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $101 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $118 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $101 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $116 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $101 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $110 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $47 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-11.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 256 -19.1% -26.8% 60% 38% -34.6%
≤30d 1473 -1.9% -11.2% 82% 37% -11.6%
≤90d 1525 -1.7% -11.1% 83% 37% -11.6%
all 1525 -1.7% -11.1% 83% 37% -11.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover80.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.1% 37% -11.6%
10% ← realistic here -19.6% 13% -20.0%
15% -27.3% 5% -27.8%
20% -34.5% 2% -34.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records