Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:08:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0F
0x0ff6…199b
crypto · 550 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2,157 -17%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,157 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$2,157
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses272 / 278
Open positions0
Markets (closed)550 / 550
History coverage29d
Avg bet$23
Trades / day33.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 550 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$255
7 days−$255
14 days−$439
30 days−$2,157
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $99 −$98 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$49 +97%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $235 −$185 -79%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $51 −$21 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 03 $15 +$4 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 03 $54 +$12 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 03 $60 −$60 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 03 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 03 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 03 $134 −$131 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 03 $51 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET May 23 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET May 23 $8 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET May 23 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET May 23 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET May 23 $49 −$29 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET May 23 $3 +$2 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET May 23 $59 +$14 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET May 23 $70 +$14 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET May 23 $3 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET May 23 $57 +$10 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET May 23 $24 +$4 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET May 23 $41 +$5 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET May 23 $8 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET May 23 $19 +$9 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET May 23 $17 +$2 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET May 23 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET May 23 $2 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET May 23 $21 −$10 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET May 23 $19 −$19 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET May 23 $26 −$7 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET May 23 $165 −$163 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET May 23 $190 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET May 22 $4 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET May 22 $5 +$3 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET May 22 $62 +$8 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET May 22 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET May 22 $21 +$15 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET May 22 $8 −$8 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET May 22 $6 +$3 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET May 22 $4 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET May 22 $21 −$21 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET May 22 $23 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET May 22 $8 +$15 +175%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET May 22 $74 −$73 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET May 22 $57 +$26 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET May 22 $21 −$5 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET May 22 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET May 22 $26 +$51 +193%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET May 22 $13 −$1 -6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% −$1,950
other 2% −$206
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $74 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $25 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $50 24m
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 9¢ $50 25m
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 40¢ $184 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 31¢ $30 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 43¢ $51 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 51¢ $51 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $60 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $5 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $38 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $15 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $15 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $2 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $103 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $26 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $6 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $25 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $26 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $10 19d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $8 19d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $28 20d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $15 20d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $5 20d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 20d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $26 20d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $3 20d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $3 20d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $59 20d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $44 20d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-17.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 -30.8% -37.4% 25% 25% -62.7%
≤30d 550 -9.2% -17.9% 49% 44% -24.7%
≤90d 550 -9.2% -17.9% 49% 44% -24.7%
all 550 -9.2% -17.9% 49% 44% -24.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover33.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.9% 44% -24.7%
10% ← realistic here -25.7% 37% -31.9%
15% -32.9% 28% -38.5%
20% -39.5% 21% -44.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1416 history records