Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:54:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0F
0x0fea…2dd1
crypto · 509 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$192 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$186 · open −$6
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$18
Realized−$186
Unrealized−$6
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses215 / 293
Open positions1
Markets (closed)508 / 509
History coverage2d
Avg bet$29
Trades / day1659.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 508 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$186
7 days−$186
14 days−$186
30 days−$186
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 36¢ 26¢ $24 $18 −$6 (-25%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $55 +$28 +51%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$13 -90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $34 −$1 -3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$1 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$19 +163%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $18 +$37 +201%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $27 +$18 +65%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $33 −$33 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $75 −$12 -17%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $35 −$5 -14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $44 −$8 -18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$17 +133%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$19 +163%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $29 +$1 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$17 +129%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$17 +138%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $24 −$4 -17%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$16 +122%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$5 -33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $79 +$16 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $33 +$5 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $28 −$13 -46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $53 −$23 -43%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$34 +269%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $41 −$41 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $38 +$3 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$16 +108%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $33 −$3 -10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$5 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $72 −$15 -21%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $46 −$5 -11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$16 +103%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $129 +$22 +17%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $67 +$28 +41%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$20 +129%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$192
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $9 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $3 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $0 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $3 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $3 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $3 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $1 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $3 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $1 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $5 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $6 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $9 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $5 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $8 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $4 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $4 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 13m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $7 14m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $4 14m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 14m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 19m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-17.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 508 -8.8% -17.5% 42% 37% -10.7%
≤30d 508 -8.8% -17.5% 42% 37% -10.7%
≤90d 508 -8.8% -17.5% 42% 37% -10.7%
all 508 -8.8% -17.5% 42% 37% -10.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1659.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.5% 37% -10.7%
10% ← realistic here -25.4% 30% -19.2%
15% -32.6% 26% -27.0%
20% -39.2% 20% -34.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $17.71 · official $17.04 (match) · 3500 history records