Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:22:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0F
0x0fe0…fb5b
crypto · 1454 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$4,483 -22%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$4,450 · open −$33
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$146
Realized−$4,450
Unrealized−$33
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses838 / 651
Est. fees paid−$39
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1489 / 1454
Avg bet$14
Trades / day140.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 1489 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4,387
7 days−$4,415
14 days−$4,419
30 days−$4,450
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FURIA 74¢ 69¢ $99 $93 −$6 (-6%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner FURIA 51¢ 34¢ $80 $53 −$27 (-33%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Team Falcons 52¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $30 −$32 -107%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $45 −$45 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $90 −$90 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Dragon Ranger Gaming - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $45 −$45 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$12 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $42 −$42 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $74 −$74 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs South America Rejects (BO3) - 1win Essence Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 87% −$87
sports 13% −$26
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 74¢ $100 10m
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY FURIA 51¢ $81 13m
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner SELL TheMongolz 99¢ $145 21m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL T1 43¢ $36 24m
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner BUY TheMongolz 67¢ $100 34m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 47¢ $41 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET SELL Down 89¢ $13 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $36 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET SELL Down 96¢ $28 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $8 3h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 83¢ $68 15h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Natus Vincere 18¢ $24 15h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner SELL Natus Vincere 3¢ $2 15h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 34¢ $20 15h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Natus Vincere 37¢ $51 15h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Team Falcons 36¢ $115 16h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +55%
net ROI/market (all)-17.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 792 -14.6% -22.8% 50% 48% -52.8%
≤30d 1489 -8.4% -17.1% 56% 55% -26.4%
≤90d 1489 -8.4% -17.1% 56% 55% -26.4%
all 1489 -8.4% -17.1% 56% 55% -26.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover140.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.1% 55% -26.4%
10% ← realistic here -25.1% 49% -33.4%
15% -32.3% 39% -39.9%
20% -38.9% 29% -45.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $146.43 · official $146.44 (match) · 3500 history records