Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:37:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0F
0x0fdf…c207
crypto · 103 markets active 0h ago
1.0score
+$79 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$90 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$466
Realized+$90
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)70%
Wins / losses70 / 30
Whale WR (big bets)86%
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions3
Markets (closed)100 / 103
History coverage109d
Avg bet$139
Trades / day5.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 3 History 100 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2
7 days−$22
14 days+$95
30 days+$44
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No 93¢ 92¢ $371 $370 −$1 (-0%)
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? Yes 96¢ 96¢ $96 $96 −$0 (-0%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 14? Yes 6¢ 3¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-48%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 9? Yes 81¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? Jun 14 $45 +$1 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $59 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -50%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +106%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +107%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $38 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $93 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $61 −$19 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +38%
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June? Jun 09 $60 −$5 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 08 $1 +$1 +137%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 +38%
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8? Jun 08 $185 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 08 $11 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 08 $6 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 08 $2 −$1 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 08 $10 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 08 $2 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 +12%
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on Jun 07 $89 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 07 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 07 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 06 $1 −$1 -98%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 mee Jun 02 $381 +$3 +1%
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? Jun 01 $873 +$12 +1%
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? Jun 01 $1,764 +$105 +6%
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? May 30 $672 +$12 +2%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? May 29 $451 +$20 +4%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? May 28 $610 +$12 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET May 26 $1 $0 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET May 26 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET May 26 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET May 26 $1 −$1 -95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
tech 34% −$81
crypto 31% +$108
world 18% +$53
economics 17% +$40
other 1% −$34
sports 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? SELL Yes 82¢ $9 24m
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June BUY Yes 96¢ $96 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? BUY Yes 77¢ $4 6h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? BUY Yes 82¢ $5 7h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 14? BUY Yes 6¢ $1 8h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? SELL Yes 82¢ $31 8h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? BUY Yes 78¢ $30 8h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? SELL Yes 78¢ $5 8h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? BUY Yes 76¢ $5 9h
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June SELL Yes 96¢ $17 16h
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June SELL Yes 96¢ $1 16h
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June SELL Yes 96¢ $1 16h
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June SELL Yes 96¢ $55 17h
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June SELL Yes 96¢ $21 17h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13? SELL Yes 87¢ $5 18h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13? BUY Yes 79¢ $5 19h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13? SELL No 34¢ $0 19h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13? BUY No 27¢ $0 19h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13? SELL Yes 83¢ $5 20h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13? BUY Yes 77¢ $5 20h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13? SELL Yes 83¢ $5 20h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13? BUY Yes 76¢ $5 20h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13? SELL Yes 52¢ $6 21h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13? BUY Yes 45¢ $5 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET SELL Up 26¢ $1 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 22h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13? SELL Yes 33¢ $6 22h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13? BUY Yes 28¢ $5 22h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13? SELL No 67¢ $5 22h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13? BUY No 72¢ $5 22h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-8.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 37 +0.0% -9.5% 68% 41% -12.5%
≤30d 64 -7.8% -16.6% 64% 33% -9.1%
≤90d 99 +0.9% -8.7% 70% 40% -8.9%
all 100 +0.9% -8.7% 70% 40% -8.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.9 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.7% 40% -8.8%
10% -17.4% 30% -17.6%
15% -25.4% 26% -25.5%
20% -32.7% 15% -32.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $465.84 · official $465.84 (match) · 685 history records