Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T20:22:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0F
0x0fdb…88ca
crypto · 17 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$73 -14%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$73 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Net worth$0
Realized−$73
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)29%
Wins / losses5 / 12
Open positions0
Markets (closed)17 / 17
History coverage1d
Avg bet$32
Trades / day133.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 17 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$73
7 days−$73
14 days−$73
30 days−$73
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Down 66¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Down 56¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Down $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 16¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 15¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Down 55¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Down 11¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Up $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Down $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Up $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Down 28¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $61 −$60 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $62 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $51 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $32 −$31 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $22 −$21 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $36 +$30 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$13 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $57 +$41 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $62 −$7 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $37 −$11 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $32 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $22 +$18 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $19 −$18 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $23 +$8 +34%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$73
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up $1 54m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $60 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $54 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +24%
net ROI/market (all)-58.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 17 -54.4% -58.8% 29% 24% -27.4%
≤30d 17 -54.4% -58.8% 29% 24% -27.4%
≤90d 17 -54.4% -58.8% 29% 24% -27.4%
all 17 -54.4% -58.8% 29% 24% -27.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover133.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -58.8% 24% -27.4%
10% ← realistic here -62.7% 24% -34.3%
15% -66.3% 18% -40.7%
20% -69.6% 18% -46.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 136 history records