Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:44:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0F
0x0fd9…c9d5
crypto · 133 markets active 2h ago
2.5score
+$6 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$6 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$6
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses50 / 83
Est. fees paid−$11
Open positions0
Markets (closed)133 / 133
History coverage600d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day0.7
Drawdown98%
Kalshi-fit84%
Chart Positions 0 History 133 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days−$1
14 days−$1
30 days−$21
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Sunrisers Hyderabad Sunrisers Hyderabad 32¢ 0¢ $129 $0 −$129 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Chennai Super Kings Chennai Super Kings 30¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 16? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Mumbai Indians Mumbai Indians 23¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 16? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 16? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 16? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $1 $0 -4%
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Chennai Super Kings May 21 $6 −$6 -98%
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Mumbai Indians May 20 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET May 19 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET May 19 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET May 19 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET May 19 $1 $0 -13%
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giants May 19 $4 +$7 +176%
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabad May 18 $3 +$2 +62%
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Gujarat Titans May 16 $11 −$10 -89%
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 16 $1 $0 -18%
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 16 $1 $0 -14%
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 16 $1 $0 -12%
Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 16 $1 −$1 -69%
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 16 $1 $0 -44%
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 16 $1 $0 -23%
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 16 $1 $0 -18%
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 16 $1 $0 -14%
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 16 $1 $0 -10%
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 16 $1 $0 -11%
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 16 $1 $0 -10%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 16? May 15 $1 −$1 -94%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 16? May 15 $1 −$1 -94%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 16? May 15 $1 −$1 -94%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 16? May 15 $1 −$1 -94%
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Chennai Super Kings May 15 $5 +$1 +18%
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 15 $1 $0 +4%
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 15 $2 $0 -17%
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 15 $3 $0 -15%
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Sunrisers Hyderabad May 12 $131 −$129 -98%
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 12 $10 −$1 -7%
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 12 $10 −$1 -6%
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 12 $10 $0 -4%
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 12 $10 $0 -3%
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 12 $10 −$1 -6%
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 12 $10 $0 +1%
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 12 $10 $0 +1%
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 12 $10 $0 -3%
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Delhi Capitals May 11 $15 +$6 +38%
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET May 10 $3 −$3 -99%
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Mumbai Indians May 10 $51 −$21 -42%
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Lucknow Super Giants May 10 $64 +$6 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET May 10 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET May 10 $8 +$13 +156%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET May 10 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET May 10 $9 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET May 10 $2 −$2 -94%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 66% −$151
crypto 23% −$23
other 9% −$6
politics 2% +$186
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET SELL Down 69¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 1h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? SELL Yes 28¢ $1 9h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 28¢ $1 9h
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Chennai Super Kings BUY Chennai Super Kings 20¢ $1 22d
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Chennai Super Kings BUY Chennai Super Kings 33¢ $5 22d
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Mumbai Indians BUY Mumbai Indians 23¢ $2 23d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 24d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $1 24d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 5¢ $1 24d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $1 24d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $1 24d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET SELL Down 41¢ $1 24d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 24d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET SELL Up 2¢ $1 24d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $1 24d
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giants SELL Rajasthan Royals 99¢ $11 24d
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giants BUY Rajasthan Royals 32¢ $1 24d
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giants BUY Rajasthan Royals 34¢ $1 24d
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giants BUY Rajasthan Royals 38¢ $1 24d
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giants BUY Rajasthan Royals 37¢ $1 24d
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabad BUY Sunrisers Hyderabad 59¢ $2 25d
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabad BUY Sunrisers Hyderabad 65¢ $1 25d
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Gujarat Titans SELL Gujarat Titans 2¢ $1 27d
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Gujarat Titans BUY Gujarat Titans 14¢ $2 27d
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Gujarat Titans BUY Gujarat Titans 13¢ $2 27d
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Gujarat Titans BUY Gujarat Titans 17¢ $2 27d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-19.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 -33.0% -39.4% 25% 25% -19.9%
≤30d 32 -32.6% -39.0% 19% 12% -38.1%
≤90d 128 -8.7% -17.4% 38% 30% -8.6%
all 133 -10.9% -19.4% 38% 29% -8.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.7 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -19.4% 29% -8.9%
10% -27.1% 26% -17.6%
15% -34.1% 23% -25.6%
20% -40.6% 19% -32.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 458 history records