Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:40:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0F
0x0fd5…c0ba
other · 4 markets active 2h ago
0.5score
−$25 -77%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$25 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5
Realized−$25
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 3
Open positions1
Markets (closed)3 / 4
History coverage14d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day0.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit25%
Chart Positions 1 History 3 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$25
7 days−$25
14 days−$25
30 days−$25
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 81¢ 80¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -99%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -99%
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect Jun 12 $23 −$21 -91%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
politics 72% −$21
other 28% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 1h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 81¢ $5 2h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 24¢ $2 3h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 53¢ $2 23h
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect SELL Yes 2¢ $2 23h
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect BUY Yes 36¢ $8 5d
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect BUY Yes 22¢ $15 13d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-96.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 -96.6% -96.9% 0% 0% -92.9%
≤30d 3 -96.6% -96.9% 0% 0% -92.9%
≤90d 3 -96.6% -96.9% 0% 0% -92.9%
all 3 -96.6% -96.9% 0% 0% -92.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.5 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -96.9% 0% -92.9%
10% -97.2% 0% -93.6%
15% -97.5% 0% -94.2%
20% -97.7% 0% -94.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.97 · official $4.97 (match) · 7 history records