Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:46:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0F
0x0fd4…cd8f
sports · 182 markets active 0h ago
1.5score
−$4 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$4 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$13
Realized−$4
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses91 / 82
Est. fees paid−$7
Open positions9
Markets (closed)173 / 182
History coverage516d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day0.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit84%
Chart Positions 9 History 173 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$8
7 days−$10
14 days−$12
30 days−$29
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Rebels Gaming vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage Rune Eaters 53¢ 50¢ $3 $2 −$0 (-6%)
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card) Ilia Topuria 81¢ 80¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No 56¢ 56¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? No 43¢ 42¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Luis Arraez hit the most triples in the 2026 MLB regular season? No 98¢ 97¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16? No 94¢ 94¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FUT Esports 74¢ 74¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 30¢ 30¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FURIA 62¢ 62¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Spread: Athletics (-1.5) Colorado Rockies 46¢ 36¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-23%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 4 Winner JD Gaming 80¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+25%)
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars Academy vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas - Game 1 Winner Vivo Keyd Stars Academy 56¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner BetBoom Team 56¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Scottie Scheffler finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday? Yes 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner Deep Cross Gaming 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner HANJIN BRION 19¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5 Over 50¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? Under 4¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Phoenix Mercury vs. PortlandFire PortlandFire 21¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5 No 62¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
LoL: Solary vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 1 Winner Eintracht Spandau 35¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner Anyones Legend 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest - Map 2 Winner Liquid 26¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Valorant: LOUD vs NRG (BO5) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 2 LOUD 8¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5 Jun 13 $1 $0 +5%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $4 +$1 +42%
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Jun 11 $6 +$2 +25%
1st 5 Innings Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5) Jun 11 $3 +$2 +67%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Jun 11 $4 +$1 +32%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 5.5 Jun 11 $1 $0 +1%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $4 +$2 +39%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $3 +$7 +291%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $5 $0 +2%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $5 +$1 +21%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $5 −$5 -99%
LoL: Solary vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $4 −$4 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5 Jun 10 $6 −$6 -98%
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs HMBLE (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A Jun 10 $2 −$2 -98%
Iraq vs. Venezuela: O/U 5.5 Jun 10 $1 $0 +2%
Will Justin Rose finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 the Memorial Tournam Jun 08 $3 +$2 +52%
Will Kimi Antonelli achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Monaco Gran Jun 07 $2 +$3 +177%
Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Pri Jun 07 $1 $0 +5%
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles? Jun 07 $6 +$2 +34%
Valorant: FULL SENSE vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group S Jun 07 $5 +$7 +134%
Fight to Go the Distance? Jun 07 $2 −$2 -100%
UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Jun 07 $6 −$6 -98%
United States vs. Germany: O/U 5.5 Jun 06 $4 +$2 +41%
Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Jun 06 $4 −$4 -98%
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Lo Jun 06 $3 −$1 -48%
Will Isack Hadjar get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? Jun 06 $1 $0 +1%
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 06 $7 −$7 -99%
Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix Jun 06 $3 +$2 +60%
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Dragon Ranger Gaming - Map 2 Winner Jun 06 $1 −$1 -97%
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs NRG - Map 1 Winner Jun 06 $5 +$2 +37%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $6 +$4 +65%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 06 $5 −$2 -54%
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage Jun 06 $1 −$1 -98%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $1 −$1 -100%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $7 −$3 -38%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 06 $4 −$4 -98%
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs GAM Esports - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $1 −$1 -97%
Will Albirex Niigata vs. Hokkaidō Consadole Sapporo end in a draw? Jun 06 $6 −$6 -99%
Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 6.5 Jun 06 $3 +$2 +92%
Phoenix Mercury vs. PortlandFire Jun 06 $3 −$3 -99%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 06 $3 +$7 +226%
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5 Jun 06 $6 −$6 -100%
Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 104.5 Jun 06 $2 −$2 -100%
Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 06 $1 +$2 +152%
Will Scottie Scheffler finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 the Memorial T Jun 06 $3 −$3 -99%
LoL: Conviction vs CCG Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 05 $4 +$1 +41%
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs Jun 05 $1 −$1 -97%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 05 $6 −$3 -51%
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 05 $2 −$2 -98%
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open? Jun 05 $11 −$11 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 92% −$43
other 6% +$39
politics 2% $0
economics 0% $0
culture 0% $0
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Ca BUY Ilia Topuria 81¢ $2 13m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 43¢ $1 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5 BUY Under 95¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY FURIA 62¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY TheMongolz 30¢ $1 1h
Spread: Athletics (-1.5) BUY Colorado Rockies 46¢ $1 1h
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16? BUY No 94¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 74¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Natus Vincere 70¢ $4 29h
1st 5 Innings Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5) BUY Kansas City Royals 60¢ $0 30h
1st 5 Innings Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5) BUY Kansas City Royals 60¢ $3 30h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 5.5 BUY Under 99¢ $1 31h
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C BUY Galions 75¢ $4 34h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 98¢ $1 35h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 36¢ $2 35h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 59¢ $3 35h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 65¢ $3 35h
LoL: Solary vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 1 Winner BUY Eintracht Spandau 35¢ $4 35h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY G2 25¢ $3 36h
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions - Game 1 Winner BUY Galions 48¢ $2 36h
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions - Game 1 Winner BUY G2 NORD 49¢ $2 36h
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions - Game 1 Winner BUY Galions 48¢ $1 36h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Vitality 97¢ $1 37h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Vitality 79¢ $4 37h
Will Luis Arraez hit the most triples in the 2026 MLB regular season? BUY No 98¢ $1 38h
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5 BUY Over 51¢ $1 2d
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs HMBLE (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A BUY HMBLE 16¢ $2 2d
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5 BUY Over 50¢ $3 2d
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5 BUY Over 50¢ $3 2d
Iraq vs. Venezuela: O/U 5.5 BUY Under 98¢ $1 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-12.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 41 -6.1% -15.0% 56% 41% -15.6%
≤30d 148 -4.1% -13.3% 52% 45% -13.8%
≤90d 153 -2.2% -11.5% 53% 46% -7.2%
all 173 -3.7% -12.8% 53% 41% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.7 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.8% 41% -9.7%
10% -21.2% 38% -18.3%
15% -28.8% 30% -26.2%
20% -35.8% 23% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $13.11 · official $12.67 (match) · 451 history records