Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T16:36:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.5
score
0F 0x0fcb…db77 crypto 1486 markets active 2h ago coverage 30d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 29d only
✗ bot/MM pace (64 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$669 (+5%) realized +$669 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -22% what you keep after slip
Net edge-22%after slip
Net WR67%break-even
Win rate67%991W / 495L
Drawdown98%max
Avg bet$9per market
Trades / day64.4pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$4
7 days−$323
14 days−$109
30 days+$107
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$107
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (64 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +67%
net ROI/market (all)-8.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 230 -20.7% -28.3% 53% 53% -34.0%
≤30d 1486 +1.4% -8.3% 67% 67% -8.8%
≤90d 1486 +1.4% -8.3% 67% 67% -8.8%
all 1486 +1.4% -8.3% 67% 67% -8.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover64.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.3% 67% -8.8%
10% ← realistic here -17.1% 66% -17.6%
15% -25.1% 56% -25.5%
20% -32.4% 34% -32.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +1% · $-wt +1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +6% → late -4% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$5 vs −$9 · ×0.51 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.02 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

30d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$669
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses991 / 495
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1486 / 1486
History coverage30d ⚠
Avg bet$9
Trades / day64.4
Drawdown98%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1486 Trades
no open positions (27 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$2 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 17 $3 +$2 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 17 $3 +$2 +83%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$2 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 17 $3 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 17 $3 +$1 +36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 17 $3 +$1 +50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 17 $3 +$1 +50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$2 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 17 $3 +$1 +36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$2 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$2 +34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 17 $3 +$3 +129%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 17 $3 +$1 +50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 17 $3 +$1 +34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 17 $3 +$1 +52%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$2 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 16 $3 −$2 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 16 $3 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 16 $3 −$2 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 16 $3 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 16 $3 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 16 $5 +$2 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$2 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 16 $3 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$2 +34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 16 $3 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 16 $3 +$1 +50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$2 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 16 $2 +$1 +60%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$4 +73%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 16 $3 +$1 +55%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 16 $3 +$1 +38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$2 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 16 $3 +$1 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 16 $3 +$1 +38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 16 $3 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 16 $3 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 16 $3 +$1 +52%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 16 $3 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 15 $3 +$1 +57%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 15 $3 +$1 +42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 15 $3 +$1 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 15 $3 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$3 +50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $3 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $3 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $3 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $3 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $3 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $3 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $5 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $3 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $3 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $3 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 13h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $3 18h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $3 23h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $3 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $3 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $5 24h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $2 25h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 25h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $3 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $5 25h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records