trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +72.4% | +56.0% | 100% | 100% | +56.0% |
| ≤30d | 1 | +72.4% | +56.0% | 100% | 100% | +56.0% |
| ≤90d | 1 | +72.4% | +56.0% | 100% | 100% | +56.0% |
| all | 19 | -64.1% | -67.5% | 21% | 16% | -52.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -67.5% | 16% | -52.6% |
| 10% | -70.6% | 16% | -57.1% |
| 15% | -73.4% | 11% | -61.3% |
| 20% | -76.1% | 5% | -65.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-18? | Yes | 75¢ | 76¢ | $84 | $86 | +$1 (+2%) |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 4¢ | 4¢ | $20 | $22 | +$2 (+9%) |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 14¢ | 13¢ | $10 | $9 | −$1 (-8%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $10 | +$7 | +71% |
| Bad Bunny video becomes most viewed SB halftime on YouTube in 1st mont | Mar 14 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Johannes Lochner (GER) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 202 | Feb 28 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Win | Feb 28 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Oly | Feb 28 | $49 | −$49 | -100% |
| Will Italy win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | Feb 28 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | Feb 28 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Feb 22 | $8 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Johannes Lochner (GER) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 202 | Feb 18 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 100 | Feb 17 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Melissa Lotholz (CAN) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026 | Feb 15 | $5 | −$5 | -91% |
| Will "DtMF" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show? | Feb 09 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will "BAILE INOLVIDABLE" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime sh | Feb 09 | $16 | −$16 | -100% |
| Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime sho | Feb 09 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Seattle beat New England in Super Bowl LX? | Feb 09 | $20 | +$9 | +46% |
| Will Jason Myers win the Super Bowl LX MVP? | Feb 09 | $5 | −$2 | -36% |
| Big Game: Scorigami? | Feb 09 | $5 | −$2 | -50% |
| Will Sam Darnold win the Super Bowl LX MVP? | Feb 09 | $40 | +$14 | +34% |
| Patriots Team Total: O/U 15.5 | Feb 09 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |