Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:57:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0F
0x0fad…28b8
sports · 910 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$287 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$287 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$38
Realized−$287
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses433 / 468
Est. fees paid−$84
Open positions10
Markets (closed)901 / 910
History coverage27d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day105.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 10 History 901 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days−$55
14 days−$94
30 days−$287
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 G2 47¢ 55¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+15%)
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffs OLDBOYS- 54¢ 52¢ $6 $5 −$0 (-4%)
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) Aurora Gaming 37¢ 38¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+4%)
Counter-Strike: Sashi Academy vs STATE (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group A STATE 82¢ 80¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-2%)
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Both Teams to Score Yes 47¢ 42¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-12%)
Map Handicap: SPARTA (-1.5) vs GenOne (+1.5) GenOne 67¢ 60¢ $4 $3 −$0 (-10%)
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage GenOne 46¢ 50¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+10%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score No 54¢ 52¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-3%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BetBoom Team 33¢ 32¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Legacy 31¢ 30¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
UFC Fight Night: Bruno Silva vs. Édgar Cháirez (Flyweight, Prelims) Édgar Cháirez 48¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+108%)
ŠK Slovan Bratislava vs. MFK Zemplín Michalovce: O/U 2.5 Under 34¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+194%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 42¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 4.5 Over 23¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5) Miami Marlins 21¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
FBC Melgar vs. CS Huancayo: Both Teams to Score No 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Counter-Strike: MARKandLARRY vs Abyssal (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 G Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $3 +$2 +86%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $3 +$3 +114%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Jun 12 $4 +$2 +44%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $3 +$2 +85%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $2 −$2 -97%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score Jun 11 $20 +$5 +25%
Counter-Strike: illwill vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group S Jun 10 $4 −$4 -100%
Counter-Strike: Falcons Force vs OLDBOYS- (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $3 +$3 +114%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs ASTRAL (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group S Jun 08 $2 −$2 -100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: GamerLegion (-3.5) vs B8 (+3.5) Jun 07 $3 +$2 +58%
Map Handicap: paiN (-1.5) vs FlyQuest (+1.5) Jun 07 $4 −$4 -100%
Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs Walczaki (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Jun 07 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Jun 07 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Lazer Cats (BO3) - European Pro League Seri Jun 07 $2 −$2 -100%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5 Jun 07 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5) Jun 06 $1 +$4 +242%
UFC Fight Night: Priscila Cachoeira vs. Chelsea Chandler (Women's Bant Jun 06 $3 −$3 -100%
UFC Fight Night: Joanderson Brito vs. Jordan Leavitt (Featherweight, P Jun 06 $5 −$5 -100%
UFC Fight Night: Yuneisy Duben vs. Jeisla Chaves (Women's Flyweight, P Jun 06 $9 −$4 -42%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $1 −$1 -100%
UFC Fight Night: Bruno Silva vs. Édgar Cháirez (Flyweight, Prelims) Jun 06 $3 $0 +15%
UFC Fight Night: Ariane Carnelossi vs. Ketlen Souza (Women's Strawweig Jun 06 $7 −$7 -100%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $5 +$5 +97%
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 06 $5 +$6 +126%
Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs BIG Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Clo Jun 06 $5 +$6 +117%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Monte (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $4 +$1 +37%
Counter-Strike: paiN vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $3 +$2 +86%
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $3 −$3 -100%
Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs ex-RUBY (+1.5) Jun 06 $3 −$3 -100%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Pla Jun 06 $4 −$4 -100%
Counter-Strike: TDK vs Walczaki (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Sta Jun 06 $3 +$2 +51%
Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs ASTRAL (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group St Jun 06 $8 −$8 -100%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 06 $3 −$3 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva Jun 06 $4 +$1 +17%
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs Young Ninjas (BO3) - European Pro League Ser Jun 06 $3 −$3 -100%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 06 $3 −$3 -100%
Counter-Strike: paiN vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $3 +$3 +101%
Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs INOX Division (BO3) - NODWIN Jun 06 $8 +$2 +30%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 06 $11 −$11 -100%
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5 Jun 06 $3 +$2 +99%
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 05 $1 +$8 +695%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 05 $8 −$8 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Flavio Cobolli Jun 05 $11 +$6 +52%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner Jun 05 $8 −$8 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev Jun 05 $13 $0 +3%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner Jun 05 $10 −$10 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$287
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Legacy 31¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europ BUY OLDBOYS- 53¢ $3 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner SELL PARIVISION 100¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY PARIVISION 52¢ $3 2h
Counter-Strike: Sashi Academy vs STATE (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group A BUY STATE 82¢ $4 2h
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europ BUY OLDBOYS- 54¢ $3 2h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner SELL MOUZ 100¢ $5 2h
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group SELL ex-RUBY 100¢ $5 3h
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BUY Aurora Gaming 37¢ $2 9h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 47¢ $3 9h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 100¢ $5 10h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 33¢ $2 14h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 48¢ $3 14h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY MOUZ 45¢ $3 14h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 42¢ $2 14h
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BUY Aurora Gaming 37¢ $2 14h
Map Handicap: SPARTA (-1.5) vs GenOne (+1.5) BUY GenOne 67¢ $4 16h
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group BUY ex-RUBY 67¢ $4 16h
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St BUY GenOne 46¢ $3 16h
Counter-Strike: MARKandLARRY vs Abyssal (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 G BUY Abyssal 85¢ $4 16h
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score SELL No 100¢ $25 16h
Counter-Strike: Falcons Force vs OLDBOYS- (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe BUY Falcons Force 50¢ $3 2d
Counter-Strike: illwill vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group S BUY illwill 67¢ $4 2d
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Spurs 100¢ $6 3d
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY TYLOO 41¢ $2 4d
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs ASTRAL (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group S BUY ASTRAL 42¢ $2 4d
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: GamerLegion (-3.5) vs B8 (+3.5) SELL B8 100¢ $5 4d
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: GamerLegion (-3.5) vs B8 (+3.5) BUY B8 61¢ $3 5d
Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5) SELL Houston Astros 100¢ $5 5d
Map Handicap: paiN (-1.5) vs FlyQuest (+1.5) BUY FlyQuest 73¢ $4 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-11.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 50 -7.1% -15.9% 44% 42% -30.6%
≤30d 901 -1.7% -11.1% 48% 46% -13.6%
≤90d 901 -1.7% -11.1% 48% 46% -13.6%
all 901 -1.7% -11.1% 48% 46% -13.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover105.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.1% 46% -13.6%
10% ← realistic here -19.6% 42% -21.8%
15% -27.4% 34% -29.4%
20% -34.5% 26% -36.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $37.71 · official $36.30 · 3500 history records