trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 8 | -10.4% | -18.9% | 25% | 12% | -10.5% |
| ≤30d | 8 | -10.4% | -18.9% | 25% | 12% | -10.5% |
| ≤90d | 8 | -10.4% | -18.9% | 25% | 12% | -10.5% |
| all | 24 | -3.9% | -13.0% | 25% | 4% | -10.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -13.0% | 4% | -10.0% |
| 10% | -21.4% | 0% | -18.6% |
| 15% | -29.0% | 0% | -26.5% |
| 20% | -35.9% | 0% | -33.7% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | Jun 15 | $19 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 14 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? | Jun 13 | $3 | +$1 | +18% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Jun 13 | $37 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by | Jun 13 | $37 | $0 | -0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Jun 13 | $14 | $0 | -0% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 12 | $35 | $0 | -1% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? | Jun 10 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 17 | $2 | $0 | -5% |
| Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2025 World Series? | Dec 13 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair? | Jun 24 | $19 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2025 World Series? | May 28 | $19 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Fartcoin dip to $0.85 before June? | May 27 | $19 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Iran enrich uranium to 90% before June? | May 27 | $19 | $0 | +0% |
| Will XRP reach $3.50 in May? | May 26 | $19 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Las Vegas Raiders win Super Bowl 2026? | May 24 | $19 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon and DOGE cut between $150-200b in federal spending in 2025? | May 24 | $19 | $0 | -0% |
| Will 'How to Train Your Dragon' have the best domestic opening weekend | May 21 | $18 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Pacers vs. Nuggets be the 2025 NBA Finals matchup? | May 18 | $19 | $0 | +0% |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on June 30? | May 17 | $22 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Solana reach $300 in April? | Apr 06 | $18 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025? | Apr 05 | $3 | $0 | -5% |
| Will How to Train Your Dragon be the top grossing movie of 2025? | Apr 05 | $22 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025? | Apr 04 | $22 | $0 | +1% |